Charlotte @ Miami Picks & Props

Nick Smith Jr. has tallied 2.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this season on the road. The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Charlotte Hornets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Nick Smith Jr. stands to experience a decrease in production in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this contest.

DaQuan Jeffries has attempted 6.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year. DaQuan Jeffries has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The matchup vs. Andrew Wiggins is a good one for threes; when Wiggins is playing at home opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a colossal 52.7% of their treys (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

In comparison to last season's 19.2 clip, LaMelo Ball's shots from the field have increased this season to 21.6 per game. LaMelo Ball has attempted 11.4 three-pointers per game this season, significantly more than his 9.0 rate last season. LaMelo Ball has played 32.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Andrew Wiggins has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat. The Hornets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with just 8.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell lands in the 81st percentile for field goal efficiency on his home court with an exceptional 52.6% rate this year. Davion Mitchell has successfully made 42.2% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. Davion Mitchell has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Davion Mitchell will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance across the board.

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro places in the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. Relative to last season's 2.3 rate, Tyler Herro's foul shots sunk have jumped this season to 3.5 per game. Tyler Herro will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Mark Williams has sunk 69.8% of his field goals over the last 8 games on the road, 6.5% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing on the road. The rate of 3-pointers drained against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (41.1%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year. Mark Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.9% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Duncan Robinson has made 2.5 treys per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.5). Duncan Robinson has missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game at home this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 21st percentile for misses at home. Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 4.0 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

Kel'el Ware has made 71.1% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Kel'el Ware measures in the 79th percentile for 3-point ability while at home with an exceptional 39.1% rate this year. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games on his home court, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on field goals (highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Josh Green has made 1.9 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season away from his home court. Josh Green has tallied a terrific 28.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 24.1 minutes per game last year. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The matchup vs. Andrew Wiggins is a good one for threes; when Wiggins is playing at home opposing starting SFs this year, they have converted a colossal 45.9% of their treys (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Hornets grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive boards per game this year.

The Charlotte Hornets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games. The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games. The Charlotte Hornets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line. Miles Bridges figures to experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing away from home in this game.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 15.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Bam Adebayo has played 33.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games at home. Bam Adebayo has made 90.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games, 15.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Bam Adebayo ought to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Jusuf Nurkić has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jaime Jaquez has gone over 6.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Seth Curry has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.