Miami 10th East37-49
Cleveland 1st East69-22

Miami @ Cleveland props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Love Points Scored Props • Miami

Kevin Love
K. Love
power forward PF • Miami
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.6
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In comparison to last season's 42.4% mark, Kevin Love's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 32.3%. Kevin Love has averaged a lowly 11.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.1%). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Kevin Love

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.6

In comparison to last season's 42.4% mark, Kevin Love's field goal proficiency has declined this season to 32.3%. Kevin Love has averaged a lowly 11.0 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 15.9 minutes per game last season. The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (44.1%). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Miami

Kyle Anderson
K. Anderson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.4
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Anderson has sunk 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.4

Kyle Anderson has sunk 66.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 29.2% more than he's made over the course of the year. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers). Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Tyler Herro Points Scored Props • Miami

Tyler Herro
T. Herro
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro should suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Tyler Herro

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Tyler Herro should suffer a reduction in productivity across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Donovan Mitchell Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Donovan Mitchell
D. Mitchell
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.2
Best Odds

In contrast to last season's 35.8 clip, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has declined this season to 31.1 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Donovan Mitchell

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.2
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.2

In contrast to last season's 35.8 clip, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has declined this season to 31.1 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against Miami may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 4.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Miami Heat are the visiting squad (7th-least in the league).

Davion Mitchell Points Scored Props • Miami

Davion Mitchell
D. Mitchell
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds

Davion Mitchell has made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. Davion Mitchell has converted 52.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a positive matchup.

Davion Mitchell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Davion Mitchell has made 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 13.6% more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. Davion Mitchell has converted 52.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 10.6% more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, resulting in a positive matchup.

Ty Jerome Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Ty Jerome
T. Jerome
shooting guard SG • Cleveland
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Ty Jerome

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.9
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.9

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Alec Burks Points Scored Props • Miami

Alec Burks
A. Burks
shooting guard SG • Miami
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Alec Burks has sunk just 2.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.3 rate last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a tough matchup. The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Alec Burks figures to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Alec Burks

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Alec Burks has sunk just 2.0 field goals per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 3.3 rate last season. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, marking this as a tough matchup. The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Alec Burks figures to experience a decrease in productivity across the board considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Jarrett Allen Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Jarrett Allen
J. Allen
center C • Cleveland
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.8
Best Odds

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen registers in the 97th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a stellar 70.2% rate this year. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 42.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

Jarrett Allen

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.8
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.8

Among all players in the NBA, Jarrett Allen registers in the 97th percentile for field goal proficiency with the home court advantage with a stellar 70.2% rate this year. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a good one for three-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have made a massive 42.3% of their attempts from beyond the arc (100th percentile). The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year. Jarrett Allen has attempted 3.2 free throws per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.

Duncan Robinson Points Scored Props • Miami

Duncan Robinson
D. Robinson
small forward SF • Miami
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Duncan Robinson

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

The matchup vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (12.1). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.4 foul shots per game this year when the Cavaliers are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA). Duncan Robinson figures to see a decline in productivity in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.

Bam Adebayo Points Scored Props • Miami

Bam Adebayo
B. Adebayo
center C • Miami
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The rate of shots hit against Jarrett Allen has been very low (50.2%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Bam Adebayo stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

Bam Adebayo

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road. The rate of shots hit against Jarrett Allen has been very low (50.2%) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (10th percentile). The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year. Bam Adebayo stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this game.

Darius Garland Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Darius Garland
D. Garland
point guard PG • Cleveland
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.4
Best Odds

Darius Garland has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Darius Garland

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.4

Darius Garland has converted 7.6 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Darius Garland measures in the 95th percentile for 3-pointers converted, totaling 3.0 per game this year. Darius Garland has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Max Strus Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Max Strus
M. Strus
small forward SF • Cleveland
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds

Max Strus has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Max Strus

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Max Strus has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this year at home. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Terry Rozier Points Scored Props • Miami

Terry Rozier
T. Rozier
point guard PG • Miami
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Prop
14.5 Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Terry Rozier

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

In terms of 3-pointers, the Heat's excellent 13.9 made threes per game measures as the 10th-best in the league this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Cavaliers).

Evan Mobley Points Scored Props • Cleveland

Evan Mobley
E. Mobley
power forward PF • Cleveland
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.2
Best Odds

Evan Mobley has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Evan Mobley has converted 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Evan Mobley has played 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, creating a good matchup.

Evan Mobley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.2
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.2

Evan Mobley has attempted 15.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Evan Mobley has converted 47.2% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season. Evan Mobley has played 30.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 43.4% on threes (2nd-best in the league) against the Heat, creating a good matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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