Sacramento @ Dallas Picks & Props
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SAC vs DAL Consensus Picks
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Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

Relative to last season's 7.2 mark, Naji Marshall's points per game have spiked this season to 11.0. Naji Marshall has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home. The Mavericks have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. Naji Marshall will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally raises player performance for all stats.
Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

Out of all players in the league, Dwight Powell ranks in the 12th percentile for playing time, posting a mere 8.1 minutes per game this year. The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Keon Ellis has converted 2.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season when playing on the road. Keon Ellis has played 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.7 higher than he's played in all games this season on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Keon Ellis has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Jonas Valančiūnas Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Jonas Valanciunas has converted 63.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 7.6% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Jonas Valanciunas has sunk 100.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 72.7% higher than he's made overall this season when playing away from home. When squaring off against fellow starting Cs, Dwight Powell slots into the 97th percentile with a massive 11.7 shots from the field against him per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. The faceoff with Dwight Powell as it relates to getting to the foul line rates in just the 89th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting a massive 3.8 foul shots per game this year when they are playing on the road.
Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one; when the Sacramento Kings are on the road, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2). The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the NBA).
Dante Exum Points Scored Props • Dallas

Among all players in the NBA, Dante Exum measures in the 92nd percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a stellar 41.2% rate this year. The Mavericks have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). Dante Exum has made 83.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.8% more than he's sunk over the course of the season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
Zach LaVine Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Zach LaVine has made 10.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk overall this year. Zach LaVine has made an impressive 41.1% of his attempts from downtown this season, significantly more than his 32.3 mark last season. Among all players in the NBA, Zach LaVine ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.6 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 threes per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Max Christie Points Scored Props • Dallas

Max Christie has attempted 10.3 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 3.3 more than he's attempted overall this season. The Mavericks have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (18.1). Max Christie has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's converted overall this season. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Kings, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

The 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Mavericks. The Mavericks rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year. When it comes to treys, the Kings's subpar 33.2% rate of made threes while playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year. The Kings have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Sacramento Kings. The matchup vs. Dallas is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are on their home court (3rd-least in the NBA).
Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Malik Monk has attempted 6.8 treys per game this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the league. Malik Monk has played 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.0 more than he's played in all games this season on the road. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Malik Monk has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 11.7% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
DeMar DeRozan Points Scored Props • Sacramento

DeMar DeRozan has converted 46.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 12.7% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Among all players in the league, DeMar DeRozan slots into the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 35.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. DeMar DeRozan has converted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's made in all games this season. Over the last 17 games when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, easily managing to get to the foul line.
Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

Spencer Dinwiddie has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Trey Lyles Points Scored Props • Sacramento

Trey Lyles has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
SAC vs DAL Trends
Sacramento Trends
The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 28 games (+12.75 Units / 39% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.70 Units / 14% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+12.38 Units / 35% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-25.45 Units / -25% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 81 games (-24.37 Units / -26% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 17 of their last 54 games (-21.52 Units / -34% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-19.36 Units / -20% ROI)
The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 54 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
Dallas Trends
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 57 of their last 96 games (+16.58 Units / 15% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 98 games (+15.95 Units / 7% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 34 games at home (+15.75 Units / 41% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.90 Units / 36% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-24.22 Units / -21% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-23.12 Units / -41% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 50 games at home (-20.00 Units / -24% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 100 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 48 games at home (-17.48 Units / -32% ROI)
SAC vs DAL Top User Picks
More PicksSacramento Team Leaders
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Dallas Team Leaders
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All Mavericks Money Leaders |