Washington @ Miami Picks & Props

Kevin Love has made 32.8% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the league. Kevin Love has played 10.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 18th percentile. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league at home with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

Haywood Highsmith has sunk 69.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 25.9% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year when playing at home. Haywood Highsmith has been on the court for 27.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. Haywood Highsmith has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 44.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while playing at home. Haywood Highsmith stands to see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Terry Rozier has attempted a lowly 10.7 shots from the field per game this year, significantly lower than his 16.4 rate last year. In comparison to last year's 6.7 mark, Terry Rozier's three-point attempts have decreased this year to 5.0 per game. In comparison to last year's 33.5 mark, Terry Rozier's playing time has regressed this year to 27.3 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA while at home this year. The Wizards have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Heat.

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.5 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season at home. Duncan Robinson has tallied 30.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games at home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 16.9 points per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Wizards, creating a good matchup for offensive productivity. Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 9.8% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Bam Adebayo has sunk 8.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 32.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. The number of points totaled against Alex Sarr has been very high (16.9 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Bam Adebayo has successfully made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made overall this season while on his home court.

Kel'el Ware has made 46.4% of his shots from downtown on his home court this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Kel'el Ware has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 8.7 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. The number of shots made against Alex Sarr has been very high (7.0 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 52.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 10.0% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 52.4% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.6% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 20.2 points per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

The Wizards have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage. The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Wizards. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 7.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Corey Kispert ought to suffer a drop-off in output for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

Kyshawn George has successfully made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's made over the course of the season without the home court advantage. Kyshawn George has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Wizards rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team when it comes to shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Miami is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Miami Heat are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%).

The Wizards rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team when it comes to shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2). The matchup vs. Alec Burks is a strong one for treys; when squaring off against other starting SFs this year, they have sunk a whopping 38.9% of their three-point shots (97th percentile). Khris Middleton has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year when playing away from home. The matchup against the Heat may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Alec Burks has converted 2.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from three in all games this season while playing at home. Among all players in the league, Alec Burks measures in the 13th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a measly 0.7 fouls per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 15.7 points per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance. Alec Burks has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.0% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Tyler Herro has attempted 22.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Tyler Herro has attempted 10.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. Tyler Herro has averaged 35.4 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 20.2 points per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Washington Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Bilal Coulibaly has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Out of all players in the league, Bilal Coulibaly registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.4 minutes per game this year. The Wizards rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team when it comes to shot attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a strong one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). Bilal Coulibaly has converted 92.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% higher than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

Andrew Wiggins has compiled 14.3 points per game while playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard. Andrew Wiggins has sunk a whopping 2.1 three-point shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 1.3 mark last year. Andrew Wiggins has played 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to three-point shots. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 15.7 points per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Wizards, making this a favorable matchup for offensive performance.

Alex Sarr has gone over 11.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Richaun Holmes has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Marcus Smart has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Justin Champagnie has gone over 7.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

Pelle Larsson has gone over 5.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.