Indiana @ Miami Picks & Props

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 53.8% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 7.5% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Aaron Nesmith has converted 2.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted in all games this season. Compared to last year's 3.5 mark, Aaron Nesmith's personal fouls per game have tailed off this year to 2.6. In regard to scoring, the Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a good matchup.

Among all players in the NBA, Bennedict Mathurin slots into the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.3 fouls per game this year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Bennedict Mathurin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to decrease player performance for all stats.

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged overall this year. The matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5). The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Andrew Wiggins places in the 83rd percentile, tallying a colossal 14.3 points per game while playing at home since the start of last season. Compared to last year's 1.3 clip, Andrew Wiggins's 3-pointers scored have risen this year to 2.1 per game. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

Davion Mitchell has sunk 58.7% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 16.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 55.8% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 15.0% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Davion Mitchell has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pacers. The Indiana Pacers check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists). T.J. McConnell will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league playing at home this year. The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Myles Turner has converted 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year while on the road. Myles Turner has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. In regard to scoring, the Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a strong one for threes; when Ware is at home fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with a massive 1.3 3-pointers per game (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Tyrese Haliburton has converted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile. In regard to scoring, the Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing at home. Duncan Robinson has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 8.1 higher than he's played overall this year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Compared to last year's 1.0 rate, Pascal Siakam's three-pointers sunk have risen this year to 1.7 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 33.0 minutes per game on the road this year. In regard to scoring, the Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Miami is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (46.4%). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Kel'el Ware has made 61.9% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 7.2% higher than he's made overall this season on his home court. Kel'el Ware has attempted 4.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Kel'el Ware has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 11.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home. The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers).

Andrew Nembhard has sunk 41.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games on the road, 9.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year when playing on the road. In regard to scoring, the Pacers's fantastic 123.4 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3). The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. Andrew Nembhard has successfully made 90.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 14.4% more than he's converted overall this season.

The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing at home this year. The Heat will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-speediest pace team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pacers). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 22.5% higher than he's made over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line. Jaime Jaquez Jr. will likely see a spike in production across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Obi Toppin has gone over 9.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Ben Sheppard has gone over 6.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Thomas Bryant has gone over 6.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.