Oklahoma City 1st West83-21
Minnesota 6th West58-39

Oklahoma City @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Joe
I. Joe
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Isaiah Joe has converted 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Isaiah Joe

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.1
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.1

Isaiah Joe has converted 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Isaiah Joe has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 33.3% higher than he's made in all games this season while on the road.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Nickeil Alexander-Walker
N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Prop
10.5 Points Scored
Projection
12
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has attempted 6.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been on the court for 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 8.5 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 26.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.6
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.6
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.6

Luguentz Dort has made 60.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 19.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Luguentz Dort has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 8.3% higher than he's made in all games this season. The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 77th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Williams has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Jalen Williams has attempted 20.4 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 2.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams registers in the 77th percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 4.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jalen Williams has attempted 5.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Rudy Gobert
R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.6
Best Odds

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Rudy Gobert has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when Hartenstein is on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (87th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.6
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.6

Rudy Gobert has successfully made 6.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 higher than he's made in all games this season on his home court. Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 33.4 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Rudy Gobert has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 85th percentile among all players in the league. The matchup against Isaiah Hartenstein is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when Hartenstein is on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 3.8 free throws per game (87th percentile).

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Anthony Edwards
A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds

When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's poor 111.2 points per game at home measures as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's poor 111.2 points per game at home measures as the 8th-fewest in the league over the last 20 games. This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves. Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Isaiah Hartenstein Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Isaiah Hartenstein
I. Hartenstein
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.5
Best Odds

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a terrific 4.9 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last year. Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The matchup against Naz Reid is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Reid is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with an enormous 0.8 3-point shots per game (90th percentile). The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Isaiah Hartenstein

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.5
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.5

Isaiah Hartenstein has converted a terrific 4.9 shots made from the field per game this year, significantly higher than his 3.2 rate last year. Isaiah Hartenstein has averaged 29.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile. The matchup against Naz Reid is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when Reid is on his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have finished with an enormous 0.8 3-point shots per game (90th percentile). The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 14th percentile for three-point effectiveness on the road with a poor 18.3% rate this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying just 19.6 free throw attempts per game.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 14th percentile for three-point effectiveness on the road with a poor 18.3% rate this year. This year, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home. The Thunder will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves). As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying just 19.6 free throw attempts per game.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Aaron Wiggins
A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Prop
11.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Wiggins has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Aaron Wiggins has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 29.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). Aaron Wiggins has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Mike Conley
M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has attempted 9.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's made overall this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Mike Conley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10

Mike Conley has attempted 9.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.6 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's made overall this year. The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Jaden McDaniels
J. McDaniels
power forward PF • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's sunk in all games this season at home. Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 91.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 higher than he's sunk in all games this season at home. Among all players in the NBA, Jaden McDaniels slots into the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 31.8 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jaden McDaniels has successfully made 91.5% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
30.5
Points Scored
Projection
31
Best Odds

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, putting up a colossal 32.4 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three in all games this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 30.5 Points Scored
Projection: 31
Prop:
30.5 Points Scored
Projection:
31

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, putting up a colossal 32.4 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three in all games this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 92nd percentile. The Thunder rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a massive 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are playing at home (6th-most in the NBA).

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

Naz Reid
N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.8
Best Odds

Naz Reid has converted 49.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.0% more than he's made over the course of the season. Naz Reid has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's played overall this season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Naz Reid

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.8

Naz Reid has converted 49.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 10.0% more than he's made over the course of the season. Naz Reid has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.0 more than he's played overall this season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the NBA on their home court with 13.8 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.9 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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