Miami @ Oklahoma City Picks & Props

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.7 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 8.1 rate last year. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Andrew Wiggins has attempted 16.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Andrew Wiggins has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

Isaiah Joe has converted 61.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 16.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season while at home. Isaiah Joe has converted 4.2 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Joe is expected to see a spike in production in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Luguentz Dort has sunk 54.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 12.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year at home. Luguentz Dort has sunk 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 50.6% of his treys over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.7). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Davion Mitchell has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 30.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Isaiah Hartenstein has made a whopping 4.9 buckets per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.2 mark last season. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup against Kel'el Ware is a strong one for three-pointers; when facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have made a monstrous 43.8% of their 3-point attempts (100th percentile). The 5th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Thunder. Isaiah Hartenstein stands to see a spike in performance in all facets of the game considering enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 63.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year on the road. Nikola Jovic has converted 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season while playing away from home. Nikola Jovic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 6.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%). The 3rd-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Offensive rebounds save possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games. Bam Adebayo has attempted a mere 4.1 foul shots per game this season, significantly lower than his 5.3 mark last season. Bam Adebayo ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Kel'el Ware has successfully made 5.1 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. Kel'el Ware has averaged 30.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 12.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games as the visting team in regard to shots from behind the three-point arc. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Heat. Kel'el Ware has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.6% higher than he's converted overall this year.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Miami Heat). Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 9thworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 10.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Williams has sunk 45.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.7% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the season playing at home. Relative to last year's 3.5 rate, Jalen Williams's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 4.9 per game. Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Heat is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made 46.1% of his treys over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made overall this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, a significant increase from his 3.6 rate last season. Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander places in the 91st percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game while at home this year. The Thunder rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Jaylin Williams has gone over 5.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Terry Rozier has gone over 12.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Kenrich Williams has gone over 5.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Alex Caruso has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.