Denver @ Miami Picks & Props

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Russell Westbrook has converted 58.2% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made in all games this season on the road. Russell Westbrook has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 4th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. Peyton Watson has made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 13.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road.

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. rates in the 89th percentile for shots from the field converted, putting up a colossal 7.0 per game this year. Michael Porter Jr. has made 2.2 three-pointers per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. registers in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a good one for threes; when the Heat have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (46.4%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The matchup vs. Denver is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Denver Nuggets are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 5th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.8%). The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets).

Jamal Murray has attempted 16.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league. Jamal Murray has sunk 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's converted from three in all games this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jamal Murray comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 35.8 minutes per game this year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.

The number of 3-pointers attempted against Nikola Jokic has been quite low (1.3 per game) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably low this year (2.4 foul shots per game when they are on their home court: 20th percentile).

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Christian Braun has made 53.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 17.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year. Christian Braun has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 88th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup. The matchup vs. Jimmy Butler is a positive one for 3-point shots; when guarding other starting SFs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 44.8% of their three-point shots (100th percentile). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games as the visting team.

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting squad (10th-most in the league).

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been very low this year (2.7 free throws per game: 23rd percentile). Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

The Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while on their home court. The Miami Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nuggets). Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Nuggets, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Jaime Jaquez has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon has gone over 8.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Julian Strawther has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kel'el Ware has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.