HOU 5.0 o207.5
GS -5.0 u207.5
Dallas 10th WESTERN CONFERENCE39-43
New Orleans 14th WESTERN CONFERENCE21-61

Dallas @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Spencer Dinwiddie Points Scored Props • Dallas

S. Dinwiddie
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Under
-122

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 34.8% of his shot attempts from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Spencer Dinwiddie should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

Spencer Dinwiddie

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Spencer Dinwiddie has successfully made 34.8% of his shot attempts from the field while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile among all players in the league. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Spencer Dinwiddie should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering being on the road in this matchup.

Yves Missi Points Scored Props • New Orleans

Y. Missi
center C • New Orleans
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
+105

While away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs, Daniel Gafford places in the 97th percentile with a colossal 12.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Daniel Gafford in regard to drawing fouls ranks in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.4 foul shots per game this year.

Yves Missi

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

While away from his home court and facing opposing starting Cs, Daniel Gafford places in the 97th percentile with a colossal 12.0 shot attempts from the field against him per game this year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). The clash with Daniel Gafford in regard to drawing fouls ranks in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 3.4 foul shots per game this year.

Trey Murphy Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
22.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.1
Best Odds
Under
+100

Trey Murphy III has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile). The Pelicans check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Trey Murphy

Prop: 22.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.1
Prop:
22.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.1

Trey Murphy III has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile). The Pelicans check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a difficult one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.4). This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.8
Best Odds
Under
-120

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a difficult matchup. P.J. Washington figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.8

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.4 3-point attempts per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans, making this a difficult matchup. P.J. Washington figures to suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Quentin Grimes Points Scored Props • Dallas

Q. Grimes
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games. Quentin Grimes has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Quentin Grimes

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.7

Quentin Grimes has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games. Quentin Grimes has successfully made 91.7% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 9.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing away from home.

Dejounte Murray Points Scored Props • New Orleans

D. Murray
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. Dejounte Murray has tallied 33.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.

Dejounte Murray

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Dejounte Murray has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year. Dejounte Murray has tallied 33.2 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 9th-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
-105

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 99th percentile for shooting prowess with a stellar 67.7% rate this year. The matchup with Yves Missi places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 6.0 baskets per game this year when they are on the away squad. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford measures in the 99th percentile for shooting prowess with a stellar 67.7% rate this year. The matchup with Yves Missi places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs burying an enormous 6.0 baskets per game this year when they are on the away squad. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Thompson
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.5
Best Odds
Over
-110

Klay Thompson has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

Klay Thompson

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.5

Klay Thompson has converted 3.0 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, designating this as a favorable matchup. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

CJ McCollum has averaged 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. CJ McCollum has successfully made 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three overall this season on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

CJ McCollum

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

CJ McCollum has averaged 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. CJ McCollum has successfully made 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three overall this season on his home court. Out of all players in the NBA, CJ McCollum slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the Mavericks is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Jose Alvarado Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Alvarado
point guard PG • New Orleans
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.1
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Jose Alvarado has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Jose Alvarado places in the 84th percentile for free-throw ability playing at home with a terrific 91.7% rate this year.

Jose Alvarado

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.1
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.1

Jose Alvarado has sunk 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to more possessions for the Pelicans. The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists). Among all players in the league, Jose Alvarado places in the 84th percentile for free-throw ability playing at home with a terrific 91.7% rate this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.2
Best Odds
Under
-109

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Kyrie Irving should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.2
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.2

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. Kyrie Irving should suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas

N. Marshall
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
+100

Naji Marshall has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games. Naji Marshall has successfully made an impressive 91.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 80.7 mark last year.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Naji Marshall has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 6.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season when playing on the road. The 5th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Mavericks. The Mavericks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Pelicans). Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 6 games. Naji Marshall has successfully made an impressive 91.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, a significant increase from his 80.7 mark last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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