Brooklyn @ Miami Picks & Props

Compared to last year's 31.0% mark, Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s 3-point proficiency has regressed this year to 20.8%. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Noah Clowney has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's sunk in all games this year. Noah Clowney has been on the court for 24.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.1 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Nets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The Nets have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.

Compared to last year's 16.4 rate, Terry Rozier's shots from the field have diminished this year to 10.5 per game. Relative to last season's 33.5 mark, Terry Rozier's playing time has dropped this season to 28.7 minutes per game. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets). Nikola Jovic has attempted 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this year. Nikola Jovic figures to see an increase in production for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jimmy Butler has made 62.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.9% higher than he's made overall this year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 57.1% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 17.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season on his home court. Jimmy Butler has tallied 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Nets, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Nic Claxton has attempted 0.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Brooklyn Nets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Brooklyn Nets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game (19th percentile). Nic Claxton ought to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Duncan Robinson has attempted 6.0 three-pointers per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 19.5 points per game (most in the league) against the Nets, identifying this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness. The matchup vs. Keon Johnson is a positive one for 3-point shots; when squaring off against other starting SGs this year, they have converted a monstrous 41.2% of their attempts from downtown (90th percentile). The Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

Ben Simmons has sunk 60.6% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 5.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year. The Nets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have compiled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive production. The Nets have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team. Ben Simmons has successfully made an impressive 62.5% of his free throws this year, significantly more than his 33.3 rate last year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Dorian Finney-Smith slots into the 89th percentile for 3-point shots scored, posting 2.5 per game this year. The Nets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a positive matchup. The Nets have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.

Out of all players in the league, Day'Ron Sharpe rates in the 91st percentile for field goal performance with a phenomenal 56.9% rate since the start of last season. The Nets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The Nets have played at the 9th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.

Keon Johnson has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's been called for overall this season. The Brooklyn Nets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Miami Heat). The Brooklyn Nets have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Keon Johnson figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Haywood Highsmith has made 2.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this season at home. The Miami Heat have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home. The Heat are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 9th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Brooklyn Nets). Haywood Highsmith figures to see a spike in productivity in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 26.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Nic Claxton is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; when Claxton is away from his home court and matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.7 foul shots per game (11th percentile).

Cameron Johnson has posted 17.8 points per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this standard. Cameron Johnson has converted an impressive 3.2 shots from downtown per game this year, a big improvement over his 2.4 rate last year. Out of all players in the NBA, Cameron Johnson measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The Nets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

Shake Milton has gone over 9.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Jalen Wilson has gone over 9.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Pelle Larsson has gone over 6.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.