NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game Feb. 27, 2026

Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ Detroit Pistons logo DET Fri, Feb 27 • 7:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Spread
Detroit Pistons logo DET -5.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

James Harden and Donovan Mitchell could both be sidelined for Cleveland on Friday, leaving the Eastern Conference's top seed ready to strike at home. I'm all over the Pistons covering in a blowout.

Points Scored
Sam Merrill logo
Sam Merrill o11.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 13.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In contrast to last season's 7.0 clip, Sam Merrill's points per game have increased this season to 13.0.. Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 8th-best in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.
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Brooklyn Nets logo BK @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Fri, Feb 27 • 7:30 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total Rebounds
Payton Pritchard logo Payton Pritchard o3.5 Total Rebounds (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Jason Logan image
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

The Brooklyn Nets are at the bottom of the Atlantic Division and among the worst rebounding teams, ranked 26th in rebound rate. Pritchard has grabbed four or more boards in two of the past three matchups with Brooklyn and is projected for as many as 4.9 rebounds tonight.

Spread
Boston Celtics logo BOS -17.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Big number, but I love this spot for Boston. It’s their first home game since Feb. 11, they’re off tomorrow, and they’re coming off an ugly loss. Meanwhile, Brooklyn is 2-8 ATS in the second leg of back-to-backs and ranks dead last in offensive rating this month, while Boston is first in defensive rating. The Celtics have covered in six straight as double-digit favorites. The Nets are on an 0-7 ATS slide as a double-digit dog and their losses on the road have come by a league-worst average of 19.3 PPG.

View 3 Picks
New York Knicks logo NY @ Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL Fri, Feb 27 • 8:00 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Bobby Portis logo
Bobby Portis o9.5 Points Scored (-128)
Projection 11.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In terms of scoring, the Bucks's fantastic 119.8 points per game while playing at home settles in as the 6th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
3-Pointers Made
Kevin Porter Jr. logo
Kevin Porter Jr. o1.5 3-Pointers Made (+155)
Projection 1.89 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In terms of 3-point shots, the Bucks's exceptional 40.8% rate of made threes playing at home measures as the highest in the league this year.. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 44.7% on threes (best in the league) against the Knicks, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
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Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Fri, Feb 27 • 8:30 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Caleb Martin logo
Caleb Martin u8.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 4.57 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In contrast to last season's 7.6 clip, Caleb Martin's points per game have been reduced this season to 3.6.. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Naji Marshall logo
Naji Marshall u20.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 17.47 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The matchup against Memphis is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.7).. The Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).. Over the last 12 games, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Grizzlies, making it tough to draw fouls.
View 7 Picks
Denver Nuggets logo DEN @ Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC Fri, Feb 27 • 9:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander logo
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander u28.5 Points Scored (-115)
Projection 23.74 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The matchup against Denver is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Nuggets are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).. The Thunder have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Jaylin Williams logo
Jaylin Williams u7.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 6.35 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Thunder have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
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