Dallas @ Denver Picks & Props
DAL vs DEN Picks
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DAL vs DEN Consensus Picks
DAL vs DEN Props
Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • Dallas
Naji Marshall has converted 54.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. The Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Naji Marshall has made 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's converted over the course of the season.
Nikola Jokić Points Scored Props • Denver
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 99th percentile for shots from the field made at home, averaging a monstrous 10.4 per game this year. Nikola Jokic has converted 60.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc on his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 36.7 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Dereck Lively Points Scored Props • Dallas
Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal ability with an impressive 71.8% rate this year. The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for scoring; when Jokic is playing at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have sunk a monstrous 8.1 baskets per game (96th percentile). The Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been quite high this year (5.3 foul shot attempts per game when they are away from home: 96th percentile).
P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas
Among all players in the league, P.J. Washington ranks in the 11th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a feeble 22.4% rate this year. The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup against the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.7). The 5th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington slots into the 8th percentile for free-throw effectiveness with a poor 50.0% rate this year.
Michael Porter Points Scored Props • Denver
Michael Porter Jr. has made 4.0 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season while at home. Michael Porter Jr. has played 35.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Michael Porter Jr. ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.
Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver
Jamal Murray has attempted 8.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Out of all players in the league, Jamal Murray lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 36.3 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Peyton Watson Points Scored Props • Denver
Peyton Watson has converted 56.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year. Peyton Watson has sunk 55.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 21.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. Peyton Watson has averaged 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a positive matchup. The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas
The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Nuggets, making this a challenging matchup. The 5th-least up-tempo pace away team in the league this year has been the Mavericks. Kyrie Irving will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.
Russell Westbrook Points Scored Props • Denver
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Among all players in the NBA, Russell Westbrook lands in the 86th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, compiling a massive 4.1 free throw attempts per game on his home court this year. Russell Westbrook will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves player production in all facets of the game.
Klay Thompson Points Scored Props • Dallas
Klay Thompson has attempted 8.5 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Klay Thompson has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (18th percentile). The Mavericks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Klay Thompson has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots this year, putting him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver
Christian Braun has converted 55.5% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun lands in the 85th percentile for three-point prowess with an exceptional 43.1% rate this year. Christian Braun has averaged an impressive 35.3 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 19.8 minutes per game last year. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. The showdown with Quentin Grimes ranks in only the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting SGs sinking an enormous 47.0% of their field goals this year when they have the home court advantage.
Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas
Jaden Hardy has gone over 9.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Julian Strawther Points Scored Props • Denver
Julian Strawther has gone over 7.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas
Daniel Gafford has gone over 10.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
DAL vs DEN Trends
Dallas Trends
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 90 games (+24.65 Units / 24% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 59 of their last 94 games (+20.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 43 of their last 70 games (+15.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 30 away games (+13.70 Units / 39% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+12.87 Units / 43% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 92 games (-38.35 Units / -36% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 96 games (-30.00 Units / -28% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 82 games (-26.80 Units / -22% ROI)
The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-21.90 Units / -15% ROI)
Denver Trends
The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 91 games (+13.05 Units / 4% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+11.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+9.49 Units / 32% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 43 games at home (+8.93 Units / 18% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 70% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 39 of their last 78 games (-30.90 Units / -16% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.05 Units / -18% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-17.08 Units / -22% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 28 games (-15.50 Units / -35% ROI)
The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 27 games at home (-15.06 Units / -33% ROI)
DAL vs DEN Top User Picks
Dallas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | pskerry | 8-1-1 | +8750 |
| 2 | Hoosier | 7-3-0 | +7350 |
| 3 | lewnyjune | 9-1-0 | +7150 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 6-4-0 | +7100 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 6-3-1 | +7100 |
| 6 | twocoors | 7-3-0 | +6500 |
| 7 | cashbb1030 | 7-3-0 | +6100 |
| 8 | JFT1010 | 5-5-0 | +5850 |
| 9 | TDRO1 | 8-2-0 | +5400 |
| 10 | stjula | 6-4-0 | +5250 |
| All Mavericks Money Leaders | |||
Denver Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ASkinsFanInDixi | 10-0-0 | +10350 |
| 2 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +9600 |
| 3 | proliner55 | 6-4-0 | +9050 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 7-3-0 | +8860 |
| 5 | rhinorey | 8-2-0 | +8800 |
| 6 | JamesGang | 8-2-0 | +8380 |
| 7 | JFT1010 | 6-4-0 | +8100 |
| 8 | billdo | 6-4-0 | +8000 |
| 9 | aerison12 | 7-3-0 | +8000 |
| 10 | Hotstuff1301 | 7-3-0 | +7700 |
| All Nuggets Money Leaders | |||