DAL 6.5 o209.5
BOS -6.5 u209.5
Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
Indiana 6th Eastern Conference47-35

Boston @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
27.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Under
-102

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 27.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
27.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Andrew Nembhard has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season. The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
+105

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 92nd percentile for three-point prowess with a stellar 41.3% rate this year. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 89.6% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 7.8% more than he's converted in all games this year while on his home court. Aaron Nesmith stands to see a spike in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith lands in the 92nd percentile for three-point prowess with a stellar 41.3% rate this year. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Boston is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7). Aaron Nesmith has successfully made 89.6% of his foul shots over the last 15 games at home, 7.8% more than he's converted in all games this year while on his home court. Aaron Nesmith stands to see a spike in performance in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-106

Derrick White has successfully made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 19.0 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Derrick White

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Derrick White has successfully made 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 19.0 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, labeling this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Obi Toppin Points Scored Props • Indiana

O. Toppin
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.8
Best Odds
Over
+118

Obi Toppin has successfully made 5.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made overall this year while playing at home. Obi Toppin has tallied a whopping 20.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 15.7 minutes per game last season. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. Obi Toppin has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Obi Toppin ought to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Obi Toppin

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.8
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.8

Obi Toppin has successfully made 5.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 more than he's made overall this year while playing at home. Obi Toppin has tallied a whopping 20.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 15.7 minutes per game last season. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. Obi Toppin has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 18.0% more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage. Obi Toppin ought to see an increase in productivity in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Ben Sheppard Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Sheppard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-122
Projection Rating

Ben Sheppard has converted 41.9% of his treys over the last 15 games, 11.0% higher than he's made overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. Among all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard lands in the 93rd percentile for free-throw performance with a remarkable 89.5% rate this year. Ben Sheppard is expected to see a rise in output across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Ben Sheppard

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Ben Sheppard has converted 41.9% of his treys over the last 15 games, 11.0% higher than he's made overall this season. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. Among all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard lands in the 93rd percentile for free-throw performance with a remarkable 89.5% rate this year. Ben Sheppard is expected to see a rise in output across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this game.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.6
Best Odds
Over
-133

Jrue Holiday has sunk 65.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers are playing at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.6
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.6

Jrue Holiday has sunk 65.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has converted 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has been on the court for 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Indiana may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers are playing at home (7th-most in the NBA).

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Payton Pritchard has sunk 73.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 34.6% more than he's converted from three in all games this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.4
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.4

Payton Pritchard has sunk 73.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 34.6% more than he's converted from three in all games this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Payton Pritchard has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-118

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. Pascal Siakam has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.7 rate last season.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5). The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 15 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league at home with just 10.0 offensive boards per game this year. Pascal Siakam has attempted just 4.7 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 6.7 rate last season.

Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
18
Best Odds
Over
-110

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Tyrese Haliburton has tallied 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Tyrese Haliburton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 11.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 3.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home. Tyrese Haliburton has tallied 32.1 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0). Tyrese Haliburton has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the year when playing at home.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

T.J. McConnell has sunk 6.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while at home. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0). T.J. McConnell has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while at home. T.J. McConnell is expected to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.2
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.2

T.J. McConnell has sunk 6.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while at home. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup against the Celtics is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the most treys per game in the NBA this year (3.0). T.J. McConnell has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season while at home. T.J. McConnell is expected to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.1
Best Odds
Over
-102

Myles Turner has sunk 51.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while on his home court. Myles Turner has averaged 32.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Al Horford is a good one for field goal attempts; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.5 field goals per game (100th percentile). Myles Turner has successfully made 93.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.1% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Myles Turner

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.1

Myles Turner has sunk 51.6% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 14.6% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year while on his home court. Myles Turner has averaged 32.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year. When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's excellent 121.9 points per game comes in as the strongest in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Al Horford is a good one for field goal attempts; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.5 field goals per game (100th percentile). Myles Turner has successfully made 93.3% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.1% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.1
Best Odds
Over
-145

Jaylen Brown has converted 9.1 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has sunk 46.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jaylen Brown has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.1
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.1

Jaylen Brown has converted 9.1 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has sunk 46.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season. Jaylen Brown has tallied 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's tallied overall this season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jaylen Brown has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
-125

Al Horford has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Al Horford has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played overall this year. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. The matchup with Myles Turner with respect to getting to the free-throw line lands in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 3.1 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Al Horford has attempted 7.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.0 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Al Horford has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's played overall this year. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while on the road. The matchup with Myles Turner with respect to getting to the free-throw line lands in just the 75th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a colossal 3.1 foul shots per game this year when they are away from home.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
29.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jayson Tatum has played 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has converted 7.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 29.1
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
29.1

Jayson Tatum has attempted 22.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jayson Tatum has played 43.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists). Jayson Tatum has converted 7.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season. The matchup against the Pacers is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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