Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

Tyler Herro has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Tyler Herro has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (3.0). Tyler Herro has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 15.4% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Caleb Martin has made 47.5% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games, 8.8% more than he's made from three overall this season. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, creating a good matchup. Caleb Martin has sunk 91.7% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 10.0% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing at home. Caleb Martin will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.6 field goals per game over the last 10 games when playing on the road, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. In contrast to last season's 5.9 rate, Jayson Tatum's off-target 3-pointers have regressed this season to 5.1 per game. Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum rates in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 35.9 minutes per game this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the league) against the Heat, labeling this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday measures in the 86th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing away from home with a superb 41.2% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Payton Pritchard has sunk 7.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Payton Pritchard has tallied 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 18.1% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 18.2% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this year while at home. Jaime Jaquez Jr. ought to see a spike in production in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Al Horford has successfully made 54.0% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 11.8% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season away from home.

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 90th percentile, putting up a whopping 19.8 points per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc on the road, logging 5.2 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 29.7 minutes per game this year. The rate of field goals sunk against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (62.0%) when he is on his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Nikola Jovic has converted a whopping 40.7% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit more than his 21.7 mark last year. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.5% more than he's made over the course of the year. Nikola Jovic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance in all facets of the game.

Haywood Highsmith has converted 55.3% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season playing at home. Haywood Highsmith has sunk 1.9 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season at home. Haywood Highsmith has tallied 27.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 6.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year. In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Haywood Highsmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally improves stat production across the board.

Derrick White has sunk 3.3 3-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from three over the course of the year. Derrick White has tallied 32.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 88th percentile. This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Derrick White has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Delon Wright has made 54.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 14.4% more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Delon Wright has tallied 24.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Delon Wright has averaged 0.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (13th percentile). In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league playing at home over the last 10 games has been the Miami Heat. Delon Wright has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.6 shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 89th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, tallying 5.9 per game this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown rates in the 91st percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Out of all players in the league, Bam Adebayo slots into the 18th percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, posting 0.6 per game this year. The rate of 3-point shots drained against Kristaps Porzingis has been quite low (24.1%) when guarding other starting Cs this year (6th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Kevin Love has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Sam Hauser has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.