Final May 14
NY 102 5.5 o207.5
BOS 127 -5.5 u207.5
Final May 14
GS 110 9.5 o204.0
MIN 121 -9.5 u204.0
Dallas 5th WESTERN CONFERENCE50-32
Oklahoma City 1st WESTERN CONFERENCE57-25
BSN

Dallas @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Aaron Wiggins
A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Compared to last season's 36.9% rate, Aaron Wiggins's three-point ability has risen this season to 49.2%. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance across the board.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 5.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Compared to last season's 36.9% rate, Aaron Wiggins's three-point ability has risen this season to 49.2%. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Aaron Wiggins will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance across the board.

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

Jaden Hardy
J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Prop
21.5 Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 7.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 less than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Jaden Hardy figures to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Jaden Hardy has been on the court for 7.9 minutes per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 5.0 less than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Jaden Hardy figures to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

Dwight Powell Points Scored Props • Dallas

Dwight Powell
D. Powell
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Compared to last season's 73.5% rate, Dwight Powell's scoring ability has tailed off this season to 65.9%. The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Dwight Powell has successfully made 50.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 22.4% less than he's converted over the course of the year. Dwight Powell stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Dwight Powell

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Compared to last season's 73.5% rate, Dwight Powell's scoring ability has tailed off this season to 65.9%. The Mavericks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the league away from their home court with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Dwight Powell has successfully made 50.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 22.4% less than he's converted over the course of the year. Dwight Powell stands to experience a decrease in performance across the board in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Josh Green Points Scored Props • Dallas

Josh Green
J. Green
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Josh Green has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage. The matchup against Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are playing at home (7th-most in the league).

Josh Green

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Josh Green has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 10.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year without the home court advantage. The matchup against Oklahoma may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Thunder are playing at home (7th-most in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
28.6
Best Odds

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30.3 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 48.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this year while playing at home. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28.6
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28.6

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has scored 30.3 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has made 48.1% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this year while playing at home. Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Luguentz Dort
L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds

Luguentz Dort has averaged 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 28.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 96.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 16.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season at home.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Luguentz Dort has averaged 15.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Luguentz Dort places in the 75th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 28.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 96.9% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 16.0% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season at home.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Josh Giddey
J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds

Josh Giddey has sunk 7.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's converted overall this season. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

Josh Giddey has sunk 7.2 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 2.2 more than he's converted overall this season. Josh Giddey has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.4). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Jalen Williams
J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.1
Best Odds

Jalen Williams has successfully made a terrific 42.6% of his treys this season, significantly higher than his 33.7 rate last season. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.1
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.1

Jalen Williams has successfully made a terrific 42.6% of his treys this season, significantly higher than his 33.7 rate last season. Jalen Williams has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (16.0). The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

Chet Holmgren
C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds

Chet Holmgren has totaled 16.9 points per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 81st percentile for field goal ability with an exceptional 52.3% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. While on the road and defending opposing starting Cs, Dwight Powell places in the 93rd percentile with an enormous 2.5 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Chet Holmgren has totaled 16.9 points per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the best in the league in this category. Out of all players in the league, Chet Holmgren ranks in the 81st percentile for field goal ability with an exceptional 52.3% rate this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren registers in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year. In regard to scoring, the Oklahoma City Thunder's remarkable 123.6 points per game while at home rates most in the NBA over the last 5 games. While on the road and defending opposing starting Cs, Dwight Powell places in the 93rd percentile with an enormous 2.5 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper Points Scored Props • Dallas

Olivier-Maxence Prosper
O. Prosper
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Prop
13.5 Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has successfully made 75.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 56.4% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Olivier-Maxence Prosper registers in the 6th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 0.5 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Olivier-Maxence Prosper has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.9% more than he's made overall this year.

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Olivier-Maxence Prosper has successfully made 75.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 56.4% higher than he's converted from three overall this season. Among all players in the NBA, Olivier-Maxence Prosper registers in the 6th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a lowly 0.5 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Dallas Mavericks will likely see a rise in opportunities today from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). Olivier-Maxence Prosper has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 30.9% more than he's made overall this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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