Toronto @ Miami Picks & Props

RJ Barrett has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home, 1.0 higher than he's committed in all games this season on the road. The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league). RJ Barrett will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. Gary Trent Jr. will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player performance across the board.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (80th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Gradey Dick has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this season on the road. The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. Gradey Dick stands to experience a decrease in efficiency for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

Relative to last season's 21.7% clip, Nikola Jovic's 3-point performance has risen this season to 39.4%. Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 26.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 4.9 3-point attempts per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Raptors, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Heat.

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 58.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 5.9% higher than he's made in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has successfully made 55.8% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 20.2% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Bam Adebayo has tallied 33.0 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler has converted a whopping 43.4% of his 3-pointers this season, a sizeable increase from his 31.6 mark last season. Jimmy Butler has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 23.9 points per game (highest in the league) against the Raptors, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive performance. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Heat.

Ochai Agbaji has attempted a mere 2.7 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly lower than his 3.9 rate last year. Ochai Agbaji has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's been called for over the course of the year. The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. Relative to last year's 75.7% mark, Ochai Agbaji's free-throw performance has been reduced this year to 64.3%.

Caleb Martin has attempted and missed 3.3 three-point attempts per game over the last 15 games, 1.0 more than he's missed from three overall this season. The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.3). The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league this year. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) against the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Out of all players in the league, Bruce Brown places in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors. Bruce Brown is expected to see a decline in effectiveness across the board as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

Kelly Olynyk has made 60.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season. Kelly Olynyk has tallied 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 higher than he's tallied overall this season. The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a good one for scoring; when Adebayo is on his home court opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a whopping 62.8% of their shot attempts from the field (100th percentile). The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Tyler Herro has made 3.2 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.6 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should increase possessions for the Heat. Tyler Herro has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 20.8% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while at home.

Javon Freeman-Liberty has successfully made 3.8 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season. Javon Freeman-Liberty has played 22.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this season. Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a strong matchup for offensive efficiency. The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Toronto Raptors check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has gone over 7.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 7.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Jordan Nwora has gone over 10.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.