Two slumping Western Conference foes do battle when the Phoenix Suns host the Dallas Mavericks.
The Suns have lost five of nine, going 3-6 against the spread, while the Mavs have dropped seven straight with a 2-5 ATS record.
So, who will snap out of their funk? Well, my Mavericks vs. Suns predictions explain that it may be neither, and bring you an NBA pick on the total.
Mavericks vs Suns prediction
Mavericks vs Suns best bet: Under 229 (-110)
The Dallas Mavericks have had the perfect recipe for Unders. They have a young offense that's trying to find its way with Cooper Flagg, and a defense that gives high effort.
The Mavs enter this matchup with the fourth-worst offensive rating, while ranking a solid 12th in defensive rating.
With Dillon Brooks back, the Phoenix Suns look like the team that ranks eighth in defensive rating. And the Suns' offense has slowed recently, ranking 21st in offensive rating over the last 10 games.
It will be a battle for buckets, so I’m on the Under.
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Mavericks vs Suns same-game parlay
The one place where the Mavs struggle to defend is in the interior. Dallas ranks dead last in the NBA in opponent points in the paint per game.
Suns center Mark Williams is averaging 13.4 points over his last eight games. Over 12.5 looks like a great add to this SGP.
And the Mavs’ offensive issues mean rebounds up for grabs, so give me Royce O’Neale Over 4.5 rebounds, a number he’s topped in three of his last five games.
Mavericks vs Suns SGP
- Under 229
- Mark Williams Over 12.5 points
- Royce O'Neale Over 4.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Rising up for rebounds!
Defense means tough shots and, in turn, rebounds. Both teams will be all over the glass.
Mavericks vs Suns SGP
- Royce O'Neale Over 4.5 rebounds
- Mark Williams Over 9.5 rebounds
- Daniel Gafford Over 7.5 rebounds
- PJ Washington Over 5.5 rebounds
Mavericks vs Suns odds
- Spread: Mavericks +8 | Suns -8
- Moneyline: Mavericks +260 | Suns -320
- Over/Under: Over 229 | Under 229
Mavericks vs Suns betting trend to know
The Suns have cashed the Under in 18 of their last 25 home games for +10.30 units and a 37% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Mavericks vs. Suns.
How to watch Mavericks vs Suns
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Tuesday, February 10, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | KFAA, KTVK |
Mavericks vs Suns latest injuries
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