New Orleans @ Sacramento props

Among all players in the league, Herbert Jones measures in the 86th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a very good 39.7% rate this year. Herbert Jones has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a favorable matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Herbert Jones has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Trey Murphy III has registered 19.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he's registered over the course of the year. Trey Murphy III has played 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 more than he's played over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have put up 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Trey Murphy III has successfully made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.3 more than he's put through the net in all games this season away from home.

The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home as it relates to 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 9th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.6%). The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). CJ McCollum will likely suffer a drop-off in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.8 shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 1.0 mark last year. Keon Ellis has made 100.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 7 games at home, 66.6% more than he's made overall this season while at home. Keon Ellis has tallied 27.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 11.2 more than he's tallied in all games this year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Harrison Barnes has attempted 11.3 shots per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Harrison Barnes has made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season with the home court advantage. The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.4). Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year. As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Kings's poor 34.7% rate of successful threes rates 8th-lowest in the NBA over the last 20 games. The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings. The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Davion Mitchell has attempted 8.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Davion Mitchell has sunk 62.2% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 36.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season while playing at home. Davion Mitchell has averaged 25.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 10.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Davion Mitchell figures to see an increase in production in all facets of the game as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Dyson Daniels has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home as it relates to 3-point attempts. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). Dyson Daniels will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces stat production across the board.

Among all players in the league, Zion Williamson ranks in the 12th percentile for three-point attempts when playing on the road, putting up 0.3 per game this year. The Pelicans rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home as it relates to 3-point attempts. The Pelicans have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games. The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings). The matchup vs. the Kings may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Jonas Valanciunas has made 62.0% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 91st percentile for shots from the field converted, putting up a monstrous 7.7 per game this year. Domantas Sabonis has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Domantas Sabonis has attempted 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season. Domantas Sabonis will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improve stat production across the board.

Keegan Murray has attempted 9.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year. Keegan Murray has averaged 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile. Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games. Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's made overall this year. The matchup against New Orleans may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 3.3 free throws per game over the last 19 games when the Pelicans are the visiting team (8th-most in the NBA).

Naji Marshall has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Jose Alvarado has gone over 6.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Trey Lyles has gone over 8.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.