Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
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Oklahoma City @ Boston props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Under
-115

In contrast to last year's 11.9 mark, Luguentz Dort's shots have dropped this year to 8.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are on their home court (least in the league).

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

In contrast to last year's 11.9 mark, Luguentz Dort's shots have dropped this year to 8.2 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are on their home court (least in the league).

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 85th percentile, totaling a whopping 16.7 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.9 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Chet Holmgren has made 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.9
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.9

Out of all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren lands in the 85th percentile, totaling a whopping 16.7 points per game this year. Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 80th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 29.9 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games. Chet Holmgren has made 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
28.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.6
Best Odds
Under
-105

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots scored have declined this year to 7.5 per game. The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are on their home court (least in the league).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 28.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.6
Prop:
28.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.6

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year. The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). In comparison to last year's 9.8 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's foul shots scored have declined this year to 7.5 per game. The matchup against Boston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are on their home court (least in the league).

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-130

The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Josh Giddey will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production across the board.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics). The Thunder have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line. Josh Giddey will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production across the board.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Derrick White has converted 3.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the year. Derrick White has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the net overall this year at home.

Derrick White

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Derrick White has converted 3.7 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's made over the course of the year. Derrick White has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the net overall this year at home.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.1
Best Odds
Over
-105

Aaron Wiggins has sunk an impressive 49.4% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 36.9 mark last year. Aaron Wiggins has been on the court for 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.1

Aaron Wiggins has sunk an impressive 49.4% of his 3-point shots this year, a significant increase from his 36.9 mark last year. Aaron Wiggins has been on the court for 23.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Celtics is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8). The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.6
Best Odds
Over
-120

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 17.0 points per game on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.6
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.6

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 15.8 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 29.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year. The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a favorable one; he has given up a massive 17.0 points per game on the road when matched up against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile). The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
-134

Jrue Holiday has played 32.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jrue Holiday has played 32.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league. The matchup against the Thunder is a positive one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting PGs have totaled the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7). The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists). Jrue Holiday has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jayson Tatum has scored 27.3 points per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric. Jayson Tatum has converted 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Jayson Tatum has scored 27.3 points per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric. Jayson Tatum has converted 54.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing at home. Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 35.0 minutes per game on his home court this year. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
21.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.8
Best Odds
Over
-110

Jaylen Brown has registered 27.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 higher than he's registered overall this season. Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three overall this year at home. Jaylen Brown has played 32.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 21.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.8
Prop:
21.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.8

Jaylen Brown has registered 27.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.4 higher than he's registered overall this season. Jaylen Brown has sunk 3.4 threes per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three overall this year at home. Jaylen Brown has played 32.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Celtics. The Celtics rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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