Miami @ Portland Picks & Props

Caleb Martin has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 more than he's played in all games this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). With respect to getting to the foul line, the Miami Heat's remarkable 23.6 free throws per game away from their home court settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Portland is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are on their home court (24th-most in the league).

Terry Rozier has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Terry Rozier has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). Terry Rozier has sunk 95.8% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 8.7% more than he's sunk overall this year. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Miami Heat's remarkable 23.6 free throws per game away from their home court settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Duncan Robinson has made 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Duncan Robinson has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year. This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 51.5% on shot attempts from the field (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, making this a favorable matchup. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). Duncan Robinson has sunk 95.2% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's converted overall this season.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 79.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games on the road, 19.1% higher than he's made overall this season while playing on the road. Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler places in the 88th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 32.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 99th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, averaging a whopping 8.2 foul shot attempts per game this year. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Miami Heat's remarkable 23.6 free throws per game away from their home court settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Kris Murray has sunk 55.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.6% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year at home. Kris Murray has sunk 54.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season when playing at home. The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3). The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile). The most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). In contrast to last season's 1.0 clip, Bam Adebayo's off-target foul shot attempts have increased this season to 1.4 per game.

Toumani Camara has made 54.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year while on his home court. Toumani Camara has converted 52.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games at home, 17.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing at home. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 5.8 three attempts per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (77th percentile). The Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a difficult one; he has given up just 12.0 points per game when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile). The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has converted 20.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 12.2% less than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. This matchup is a good one for shots from the field; when the Portland Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted the 3rd-highest FG% in the NBA against them this year (50.0%). The most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

Anfernee Simons has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Trail Blazers rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games. The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league over the last 25 games when the Miami Heat are on the road (2.0). The 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Portland Trail Blazers. The Portland Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).

The most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat. The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Tyler Herro should suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

Jerami Grant has posted 21.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile. Jerami Grant has sunk 2.2 3-pointers per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Jerami Grant has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 92nd percentile. This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic has sunk 70.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 28.3% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have brought down 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Trail Blazers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create more chances for offense). Nikola Jovic has sunk 97.5% of his free throws over the last 11 games on the road, 41.7% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season without the home court advantage. With respect to getting to the foul line, the Miami Heat's remarkable 23.6 free throws per game away from their home court settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games. The matchup against Portland is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Trail Blazers are on their home court (24th-most in the league).

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Haywood Highsmith has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Jabari Walker has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Duop Reath has gone over 6.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.