Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

Tyler Herro has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (83rd percentile). The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for scoring; when the Celtics are on the road, opposing starting SGs have put up the 12th-lowest FG% in the league this year (38.1%). The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Payton Pritchard has made 38.9% of his attempts from downtown this year, placing him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Payton Pritchard has averaged 26.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.5 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have come down with 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a positive matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 87.8% of his free throw attempts on his home court this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league. Jaime Jaquez Jr. ought to see a spike in performance for all stats as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Jrue Holiday has converted 3.0 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year while playing away from home. Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have come down with 8.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown comes in at the 87th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 5.6 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile. This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Derrick White has registered 15.5 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 81st percentile. Derrick White has converted 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White places in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 32.1 minutes per game away from home this year. This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a good matchup. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat). Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line. Jayson Tatum will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

The Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year. The Celtics have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.3 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

Kristaps Porzingis has made 9.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he's sunk over the course of the season. Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 2.5 threes per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year. Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile. The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games. Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

The Boston Celtics are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Heat). Al Horford will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

Caleb Martin has made 55.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 10.1% more than he's converted overall this year while at home. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics). Caleb Martin has converted 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games at home, 16.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season on his home court. Caleb Martin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Bam Adebayo has made 60.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.8% more than he's made in all games this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 89th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a tough one for scoring; the other team has shot for the lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 10 games (44.2%). The matchup vs. Kristaps Porzingis is a positive one for three-point attempts; when Porzingis is away from his home court and squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 2.7 three-pointers per game (97th percentile). The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 57.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.1% more than he's made overall this season. Jimmy Butler has made 57.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's converted from three overall this season. Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game this year. This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled 6.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, designating this as a positive matchup. The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

Sam Hauser has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.