Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 28, 2026
OKC
@
SA
Thu, May 28 • 8:30 PM ET
o219.5 (-110)
Both teams are generating a shot volume right in line with their regular season numbers, which has consistently led to scoring in this series. San Antonio still reached 114 points in Game 5 despite poor shooting thanks to 92 shot attempts. I expect them to convert more on their home floor. OKC has cleared 120 points in three of the last four games, while the Spurs have gone Over in nine of their last 10 games, with those games averaging 227.4 combined points.
Victor Wembanyama o12.5 Total Rebounds (-112)
Victor Wembanyama amassed a billion rebounds in the first two games of the series but since then, he’s recorded a total of only 18 boards on 43 combined rebounding chances the past three outings. The biggest difference is Wemby’s aggressiveness on the offensive glass. He stacked 14 offensive boards in the opening two games of the WCF but has pulled down only four rebounds on the offensive end the last three showings. Wembanyama has looked tired and is playing too passively at times, especially in Game 5. The Spurs are begging their big man to be more aggressive in Game 6 and that means getting inside and crashing the offensive glass for putbacks. Game 6 models range from 12.3 rebounds to 15.5 with most projections north of his current rebound total.
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