San Antonio @ Miami Picks & Props

Julian Champagnie has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (21st percentile). This year, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 12.2 shot attempts per game (24th-most in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Cedi Osman has converted 53.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 7.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team has attempted 18.5 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Tre Jones has made 55.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.6% more than he's made over the course of the year. Tre Jones has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

With respect to three-pointers, the San Antonio Spurs's poor 34.2% rate of successful threes places weakest in the NBA this year. Devin Vassell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a difficult one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 15 games (15.8). Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has collected 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) against the Spurs (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the NBA, Keldon Johnson slots into the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from home, logging 4.6 per game this year. Out of all players in the league, Keldon Johnson slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 29.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense).

Out of all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro slots into the 95th percentile for shots taken, totaling 18.0 per game this year. Tyler Herro has made 3.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Tyler Herro measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.7 minutes per game while at home this year. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The matchup against San Antonio is a positive one for field goals; when the Spurs are on the road, opposing starting SGs have put up the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (54.7%).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 5.0 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 76th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the San Antonio Spurs). Jaime Jaquez Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 13.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Jaime Jaquez Jr. is expected to see a spike in efficiency for all stats in light of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.5 baskets per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has played 34.0 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The showdown with Victor Wembanyama ranks in just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs compiling a colossal 16.7 points per game this year. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler lands in the 91st percentile, totaling a massive 21.5 points per game this year. Jimmy Butler has converted 59.7% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games, 8.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game this year. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. The Miami Heat are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

Terry Rozier has missed 9.5 field goal attempts per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 11.0 rate last year. Terry Rozier has sunk 2.3 3-point shots per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league. Terry Rozier has averaged 32.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 48.4% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a favorable matchup.

Victor Wembanyama has compiled 25.2 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.2 higher than he's compiled overall this year on the road. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games. This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have grabbed 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create additional chances for offense). Victor Wembanyama has successfully made 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Jeremy Sochan has scored 15.2 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.2 higher than he's scored in all games this year on the road. Jeremy Sochan has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (30th-best in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup. The 2nd-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Spurs. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Spurs grade out 4thbest in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Zach Collins has gone over 8.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Josh Richardson has gone over 9.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Kevin Love has gone over 5.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.