Denver @ Boston Picks & Props

Peyton Watson has successfully made 42.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.5% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Peyton Watson has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 35.7% more than he's sunk overall this season.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the NBA).

Reggie Jackson has sunk 57.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 17.2% more than he's converted over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Reggie Jackson has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.2% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while on the road.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last season's 6.8 rate, Jamal Murray's shot attempts from beyond the arc have decreased this season to 5.6 per game. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets. The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting PGs vs. Derrick White has been very low this year (3.0 foul shot attempts per game: 13th percentile). Jamal Murray should suffer a drop-off in output for all stats on account of playing away from home in this contest.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Boston Celtics. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

Nikola Jokic has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season on the road. As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets. The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The matchup with Kristaps Porzingis in regard to getting to the charity stripe slots into the 21st percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs attempting just 2.8 foul shots per game this year. Nikola Jokic should suffer a drop-off in output across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Aaron Gordon has converted 67.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 10.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year. Aaron Gordon has converted 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 28.9% higher than he's converted from three overall this season away from home. Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon lands in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a positive one for shots from the field; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 11.3 field goals per game (96th percentile). While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when Jokic is on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.4 foul shots per game (90th percentile).

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Nuggets. The 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets. The matchup vs. Jaylen Brown is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; when guarding other starting SFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.0 free throws per game (10th percentile). Michael Porter Jr. will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production for all stats.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has successfully made 2.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile. The faceoff with Jrue Holiday places in only the 89th percentile for difficulty with rival starting SGs converting a massive 2.1 shots from downtown per game this year when they are on the away squad. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the NBA when playing on the road with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's converted overall this year.

Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have logged 15.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

While playing away from home, the Denver Nuggets have given up the least offensive boards per game (10.1) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Denver is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Denver Nuggets are away from home (21st-most in the league).

Christian Braun has gone over 4.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Payton Pritchard has gone over 5.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.