Oklahoma City @ Denver props

Michael Porter Jr. has attempted 7.2 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Michael Porter Jr. is expected to see a rise in efficiency for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 5.0 3-point attempts per game (10th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

Luguentz Dort has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 24.4% on threes (14th-worst in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

Julian Strawther has tallied 13.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court far less than most players in the league: 20th percentile. The Nuggets have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts. The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league while at home this year. This year, opposing clubs have captured 14.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (lengthening possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense). This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 26.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (4th-most in the league).

Out of all players in the league, Isaiah Joe ranks in the 90th percentile for three-point shots sunk, logging 2.5 per game this year. Isaiah Joe has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 19th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for threes; their opposition has averaged the 5th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.2). The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 82nd percentile, registering an enormous 16.4 points per game without the home court advantage this year. Jalen Williams has made 52.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 14.3% more than he's made from three in all games this season. Jalen Williams has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 84th percentile. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Justin Holiday has sunk an impressive 47.8% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 26.9 mark last season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Justin Holiday will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player production across the board.

Chet Holmgren has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 79th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling. The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game this year. Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have grabbed 13.2 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets (continuing possessions that can result in added chances for offense). The matchup vs. Denver may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Nuggets are at home (11th-least in the league).

Reggie Jackson has made 6.9 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Reggie Jackson has successfully made 51.9% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.7% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year. This matchup is a difficult one for scoring; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, opposing teams have totaled the least shots made from the field per game in the league against them this year (38.6). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Aaron Gordon has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 84th percentile. Aaron Gordon has accumulated 1.2 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (23rd-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

In contrast to last year's 16.1 clip, Nikola Jokic's shots have spiked this year to 19.5 per game. Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one; they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs over the last 10 games (17.6). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Josh Giddey has made 1.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted over the course of the season. The Thunder check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games. The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder. The matchup against Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are at home (22nd-most in the NBA).

In comparison to last season's 38.9% mark, Jamal Murray's three-point efficiency has risen this season to 50.2%. This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Thunder, branding this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Nuggets. Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. Jamal Murray has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.0% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Christian Braun has gone over 7.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Cason Wallace has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Peyton Watson has gone over 5.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.