Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are at home, opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-most shots from downtown per game in the league against them this year (13.3). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the foul line away from home: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game.

Caleb Martin has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.2 more than he's committed in all games this season at home. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Jimmy Butler has converted an impressive 53.4% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly higher than his 47.9 mark last year. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 40.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Jimmy Butler has sunk 8.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's made in all games this year.

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled. The matchup against the Heat is a hard one; they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.6). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the foul line away from home: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game.

Max Strus has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year. The Celtics have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are away from home (15th-least in the NBA).

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are on their home court, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the foul line away from home: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Malcolm Brogdon has made a whopping 42.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc this season, significantly higher than his 29.6 rate last season. The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has sunk 54.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.3% more than he's converted overall this season while playing at home. Kyle Lowry has been on the court for 29.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.0% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Al Horford has played 30.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Al Horford has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 25.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Gabe Vincent has attempted 7.1 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 33.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Gabe Vincent has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

The matchup against Miami is a hard one; when the Heat are on their home court, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (14.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Celtics. As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the foul line away from home: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.0 free throws per game. The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

Bam Adebayo has attempted 14.7 field goals per game this season, significantly higher than his 12.2 rate last season. Bam Adebayo has played 33.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games as it relates to attempts from downtown. The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one; when the Celtics are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting Cs this year (16.4). The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has attempted 20.7 shots per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league. Jayson Tatum has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (17.8). The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Robert Williams III has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.