Boston @ Miami Picks & Props

Caleb Martin has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.9 higher than he's committed over the course of the season at home. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Kevin Love will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city usually increases player performance across the board.

Al Horford has sunk 2.0 threes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent has attempted 6.8 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted overall this year. Gabe Vincent has averaged 32.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup against Boston is a favorable one; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (27.2). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Derrick White has made 2.7 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court. The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 12th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.7 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Jimmy Butler has posted 30.5 points per game over the last 10 games at home, 5.2 more than he's posted over the course of the season at home. Jimmy Butler has sunk a whopping 53.6% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit higher than his 47.9 rate last year. Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 41.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for shots from the field; opposing starting PGs have tallied the 12th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.8). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon has attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.6 rate last year.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 free throws per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 7.7% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 6th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this season. The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year. The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has sunk 54.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 11.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this year playing at home. Kyle Lowry has played 29.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup against Boston is a favorable one; when the Celtics are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs over the last 5 games (27.2). The Celtics have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.2 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.0 threes per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has played 35.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Duncan Robinson has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Robert Williams III has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.