Miami @ Boston Picks & Props

Derrick White has converted 1.8 three-point shots per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Derrick White has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 13.4% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Caleb Martin has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.3 foul shots per game over the last 25 games when the Celtics are on their home court (11th-least in the NBA).

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

Malcolm Brogdon has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated overall this season. The matchup against Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has averaged 31.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season. Jimmy Butler has sunk 61.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.9% higher than he's sunk overall this season while playing on the road. Jimmy Butler has tallied 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 23rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (1.7).

The matchup against Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat are away from home, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PGs this year (16.2). The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games. The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Miami may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.0 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Heat are the visiting squad (5th-least in the NBA).

Max Strus has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games. The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat. The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. Boston may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game over the last 25 games when the Celtics are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

Gabe Vincent has attempted 8.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 3.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Gabe Vincent has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 8.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 28th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.6). At home, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has converted a whopping 2.2 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.5 rate last season. Al Horford has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Al Horford will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jayson Tatum has played 36.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup against the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (17.7). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Kevin Love has attempted 6.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 23rd-most treys per game in the NBA this year (1.7). At home, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Kevin Love has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's put through the net overall this season.

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 55.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 5.6% more than he's converted in all games this year. Jaylen Brown has successfully made 44.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).

Bam Adebayo has sunk 7.9 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league. Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc. The matchup vs. Boston is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing starting Cs have posted the 21st-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (35.5%). At home, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Robert Williams III has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.