Miami @ Boston Picks & Props

Derrick White has successfully made 1.8 three-pointers per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.4% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

Caleb Martin has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (9th-least in the league).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Max Strus will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

Marcus Smart has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile). The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for field goals; when the Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.7). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Kyle Lowry has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (85th percentile). The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Kyle Lowry will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance for all stats.

Kevin Love has attempted 6.4 threes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts. While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for field goals; when the Heat are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 14th-least baskets per game in the league this year (5.7). The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home city, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics. The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists). Malcolm Brogdon has attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 4.6 rate last season.

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile among all players in the NBA. Jayson Tatum has played 36.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one; when the Heat are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (17.2). The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler has posted 31.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.0 higher than he's posted in all games this year. Jimmy Butler has successfully made 60.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.0% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season on the road. Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts. While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Gabe Vincent has attempted 9.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Gabe Vincent has played 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.9 higher than he's played overall this year on the road. The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts. The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are at home, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 28th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8). While playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Al Horford has sunk a whopping 2.2 three-point shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 1.5 mark last season. Al Horford has tallied 30.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against Miami may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Heat are the visiting team (29th-most in the NBA).

Bam Adebayo has converted 12.5% of his 3-point shots while on the road this year, putting him in the 8th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Bam Adebayo has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year. The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home. The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat. The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has attempted 20.2 shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 18.2 mark last year. Jaylen Brown has converted 50.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 10 games, 15.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year. Jaylen Brown has played 35.5 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.9).

Duncan Robinson has gone over 5.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Robert Williams III has gone over 7.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.