Phoenix 4th Western Conference45-37
Denver 1st Western Conference53-29
TNT, NBALP

Phoenix @ Denver props

Ball Arena

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
+105

Devin Booker has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Devin Booker

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Devin Booker has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season. The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Landry Shamet Points Scored Props • Phoenix

L. Shamet
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Landry Shamet

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Cameron Payne Points Scored Props • Phoenix

C. Payne
point guard PG • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.8
Best Odds
Over
-112

The matchup against Denver is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.2%). The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Cameron Payne

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.8
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.8

The matchup against Denver is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 27th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (37.2%). The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Cameron Payne has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 21.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Jock Landale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Landale
center C • Phoenix
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.3
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Jock Landale

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.3

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
31.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Under
-125

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.2). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line on the road: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 20.9 foul shots per game.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 31.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
31.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; when the Nuggets are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the league this year (11.2). The Phoenix Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing on the road this year. The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Suns. The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists). As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free throw line on the road: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 20.9 foul shots per game.

Nikola Jokic Points Scored Props • Denver

N. Jokic
center C • Denver
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
26
Best Odds
Under
-111

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Suns are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have compiled the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (51.3%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

Nikola Jokic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home. The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Suns are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have compiled the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (51.3%). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon Points Scored Props • Denver

A. Gordon
power forward PF • Denver
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.8
Best Odds
Over
-105

Aaron Gordon has sunk 54.5% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the NBA). Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Aaron Gordon

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.8
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.8

Aaron Gordon has sunk 54.5% of his shot attempts from the field when playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league. Aaron Gordon has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's played over the course of the season. The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the NBA). Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts stat production for all stats.

Bruce Brown Points Scored Props • Denver

B. Brown
point guard PG • Denver
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Bruce Brown has made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.6% more than he's made over the course of the year. The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (32.0). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has attempted 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Bruce Brown will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Bruce Brown

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Bruce Brown has made 56.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 7.6% more than he's made over the course of the year. The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for three-point attempts; the other team have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (32.0). The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). Bruce Brown has attempted 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 2.2 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home. Bruce Brown will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improves player performance in all stat categories.

Deandre Ayton Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Ayton
center C • Phoenix
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-130

Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Deandre Ayton

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Deandre Ayton has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 80th percentile. The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jeff Green Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Green
small forward SF • Denver
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+116
Prop
5.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+116
Projection Rating

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the NBA). Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production for all stats.

Jeff Green

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Suns may be a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (24th-most in the NBA). Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production for all stats.

Josh Okogie Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Okogie
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.9
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Josh Okogie

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.9
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.9

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted a mere 17.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are on their home court (2nd-least in the NBA).

Jamal Murray Points Scored Props • Denver

J. Murray
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
25.2
Best Odds
Under
-105

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.1). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. The Suns have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25.2

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts. The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.1). The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing at home. The Suns have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets. The Suns have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Christian Braun Points Scored Props • Denver

C. Braun
shooting guard SG • Denver
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.43
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
4.43
Best Odds
Over
-110
Under
-120

Christian Braun has gone over 2.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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