New York Mets

5th in National League East (40 - 57)

Next Game

Thu, Jul 16 18:10 ET

NYM @ PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The first half of the season was a disaster for the Mets, but this plus-money price with the better pitching matchup is too good to pass up. THE BAT makes this fair price -106, giving it a projected ROI of 9.4%. The last time Christian Scott faced the Phillies, he lasted 82 pitches and allowed two runs on three hits as the Mets cruised to a 6-2 win as -130 favorites. Aaron Nola has been one of the most home run-prone pitchers in baseball this season, and the Phillies have dropped four of his last five starts. It could be an All-Star host hangover for Philadelphia, and I'm backing the dog.

Total Home Runs
Brandon Marsh logo Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total Home Runs (+433)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Lefties have done the most damage against Christian Scott, which gives us plenty of Phillies bats to choose from. For the price, it's tough to ignore Brandon Marsh at +400 or better. Kyle Schwarber's and Bryce Harper's numbers have been bet down too far, while left-handed hitters have accounted for 11 of Scott's 15 home runs allowed. Marsh is a .300 hitter who was batting .335 to begin June. His BlastContact% sits just behind the big boppers in Harper and Schwarber, and he's not a guy looking to take a free pass with just a 5.2% walk rate. When he steps into the box, he's swinging. He faced Scott back in late June, and his only ball in play was a hard-hit single. Half of the balls put in play against Scott that day were hit at 95 mph or harder. Marsh has treated me well all season, and this is the price where I'm jumping back in while everyone else is piling onto Schwarber and Harper.

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+220)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto brings strong power indicators into this matchup, carrying a .302 ISO over the last two weeks with four homers in his last 13 games. He has also handled Aaron Nola well historically, while Nola has struggled with the long ball recently, allowing 2.61 HR/9 over the last month.

Total Singles
Bryson Stott logo Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Singles (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Bryson Stott entered the break swinging well, collecting four hits across his last two games, including three singles. His .291 xBA over the last seven games supports the recent contact, and Christian Scott’s four-seamer-heavy approach gives Stott a clear pitch matchup to attack after posting strong hard-contact numbers against fastballs.

Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto logo J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

JT Realmuto has shown more extra-base upside than his recent batting average suggests, posting a .250 ISO and 42.9% hard-hit rate over his last six games. He has cleared this total in three of four contests, while Christian Scott has allowed hard contact and 2.03 HR/9 over his last three outings.

Total
New York Mets logo Philadelphia Phillies logo o9.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

With how poorly Nola has pitched this season and how hot the Mets offense was heading into the break, I want to be on the over.

Batters-Box projects six combined elite-rated bats and three more with strong ratings. Scott owns a poor rating in the default settings, while Nola carries a poor rating in the current season dataset. Both pitchers also grade out poorly in matchup hard contact, wOBA, and ISO.

 

Moneyline
New York Mets logo NYM (+118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Despite the first game back from the All-Star break being in the City of Brotherly Love, I think this is a letdown spot for the Philadelphia Phillies. Especially with Aaron Nola on the mound, as he owns a 6.61 ERA over his last three outings.

Meanwhile, New York Mets right-hander Christian Scott has been more than serviceable over his last three starts, posting a 3.38 ERA, 4.14 xERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Before the break, the Mets were on a tear, sporting a 117 wRC+, .334 wOBA, .172 ISO, and .757 OPS over their previous 12 games.

Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+234)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I don't venture into this price range too often, but on a smaller card, with a +EV number and a ton of familiarity in the matchup, Juan Soto is making the card today. He projects for nearly the same home run probability as Kyle Schwarber, but at a price roughly 50 points longer, according to Covers projections powered by THE BAT. Soto has also seen plenty of Aaron Nola over his career, facing him 42 times and taking him deep five times. One homer every eight at-bats is an elite home run rate against any pitcher. Nola has been a punching bag for hitters this season, ranking second-worst among qualified starters in HR/9, fourth-worst in HR/FB rate, and fourth-worst in BlastContact%. Since the start of 2024, left-handed hitters have accounted for 65% of the home runs he's allowed. I'm playing this down to +200.

 

Total Bases
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total Home Runs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total Home Runs (+600)
Projection 0.19
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.
Total RBIs
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Jorge Polanco logo
Jorge Polanco o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+108)
Projection 2.25
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-139)
Projection 2.87
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Alec Bohm logo
Alec Bohm o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.24
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.. Brandon Marsh has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

60% picking Philadelphia

40%
60%

Total PicksNYM 240, PHI 362

Moneyline
NYM
PHI
Moneyline
Total

56% picking NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under

44%
56%

Total PicksNYM 203, PHI 260

Total
Over
Under

NYM @ PHI · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Schwarber generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Christian Scott.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +151
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 -168
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.84% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 -239
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +166
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 -235
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +148
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +600
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Christian Scott logo
New York Mets logo
C. Scott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-24.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Scott logo
New York Mets logo
C. Scott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-24.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 22.1% underlying K%.

o5.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.73% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.

o0.5 +223
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.64% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Scott today.. Justin Crawford has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Justin Crawford usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Christian Scott.. Justin Crawford is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of New York (#1-best of all teams today).

o0.5 +270
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.87 PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.87 PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 -139
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.37% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.. Brandon Marsh has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 -130
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.34 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.34 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -143
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
3.59% EV

ANALYSIS

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Schwarber generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Christian Scott.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +151
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.12% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 -168
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.84% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.84% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.

o0.5 -150
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets logo
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.19 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-4.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today.

o0.5 -239
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.44% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams on the slate today.

u0.5 +166
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
-6.94% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 -235
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.81 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
15.1% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 94°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +148
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.19 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
8.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +600
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Christian Scott logo
New York Mets logo
C. Scott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-24.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Scott logo
New York Mets logo
C. Scott (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.87 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
-24.92% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Christian Scott in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-heavy lineup in today's games is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 22.1% underlying K%.

o5.5 +105
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Francisco Alvarez logo
New York Mets logo
F. Alvarez (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.58 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.73% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.

o0.5 +223
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.64% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
15.54% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 91°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Batting from the opposite that Christian Scott throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.64% EV

ANALYSIS

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Justin Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Scott today.. Justin Crawford has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Justin Crawford usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Christian Scott.. Justin Crawford is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of New York (#1-best of all teams today).

o0.5 +270
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jorge Polanco logo
New York Mets logo
J. Polanco (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.25 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jorge Polanco will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Aaron Nola in this game.. Philadelphia's #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jorge Polanco, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.87 PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.87 PROJECTION
+1.4 DIFFERENCE
15.83% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game's 2nd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott in today's matchup.. New York's #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kyle Schwarber, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

o1.5 -139
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Alec Bohm will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.37% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
8.37% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Christian Scott today.. Brandon Marsh has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 -130
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.34 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies logo
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.34 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
8.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest predicts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 92°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -143
DraftKings logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'jbros01' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

jbros01 is #1 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (26-20-2) and +13550 units on the season.

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'jbros01' picks Philadelphia at (-139)

jbros01 is #1 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (26-20-2) and +13550 units on the season.

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PHI
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'mrplus96' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

mrplus96 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (50-34-1) and +19925 units on the season.

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'mrplus96' picks Philadelphia at (-139)

mrplus96 is #1 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (50-34-1) and +19925 units on the season.

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PHI
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'theronstart27' picks NY Mets at (110)

theronstart27 is #10 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (22-14-1) and +8695 units on the season.

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'theronstart27' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Over (10.0)

theronstart27 is #10 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (22-14-1) and +8695 units on the season.

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'glen2003' picks Philadelphia at (-139)

glen2003 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (52-39-0) and +18885 units on the season.

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'glen2003' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

glen2003 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (52-39-0) and +18885 units on the season.

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'CRS' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

CRS is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (52-33-2) and +16995 units on the season.

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'CRS' picks NY Mets at (105)

CRS is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (52-33-2) and +16995 units on the season.

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'Hotstuff1301' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

Hotstuff1301 is #5 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (30-27-2) and +10600 units on the season.

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'Hotstuff1301' picks NY Mets at (105)

Hotstuff1301 is #5 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (30-27-2) and +10600 units on the season.

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'billdo' picks NY Mets at (105)

billdo is #6 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (19-21-1) and +9050 units on the season.

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'billdo' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (10.0)

billdo is #6 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (19-21-1) and +9050 units on the season.

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'halfricanknight' picks NY Mets at (105)

halfricanknight is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (42-23-1) and +15185 units on the season.

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'cincinnatijoseph' picks NY Mets at (105)

cincinnatijoseph is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (18-8-1) and +14600 units on the season.

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'cincinnatijoseph' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

cincinnatijoseph is #8 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (18-8-1) and +14600 units on the season.

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'MatroxSD' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

MatroxSD is #8 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (19-16-1) and +8890 units on the season.

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'MatroxSD' picks NY Mets at (105)

MatroxSD is #8 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (19-16-1) and +8890 units on the season.

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'bear1313' picks Philadelphia at (-139)

bear1313 is #9 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (43-30-1) and +8745 units on the season.

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PHI
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'hackorama' picks Philadelphia at (-139)

hackorama is #9 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (28-11-1) and +14460 units on the season.

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'bear1313' picks NY Mets vs Philadelphia to go Under (9.5)

bear1313 is #9 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (43-30-1) and +8745 units on the season.

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Over
Under

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