Milwaukee Brewers

1st in National League Central (98 - 59)

Next Game

Wed, Sep 23 18:40 ET

MIL @ PHI Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
William Contreras logo William Contreras o0.5 Total Home Runs (+700)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Contreras has a high-end .882 OPS with a homer across 34 plate appearances against Philly starter Aaron Nola. Of course, Nola has also served up 14 homers with a .225 ISO to right-handed hitters.

Total
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail o7.5 (+103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

This Over 7.5 is in play to -105 because Philadelphia has scored 4.7 runs per game across the past two weeks, and Milwaukee has been even better with 6.5 per game. Both teams have trended to the Over, too, and I'm anticipating the Brewers doing damage against Phillies veteran Aaron Nola. His 2.10 ERA across his past 10 starts is miles below his underlying 3.69 xERA and 3.78 xFIP, after all.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL (-136)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

With postseason positioning still at stake, I recommend the Milwaukee moneyline to -150. The Brewers have an advantage on the mound and at the plate, after all. Milwaukee starter Logan Henderson sports and elite elite 2.80 xERA and 3.33 xFIP across his past eight starts, and the Brewers are second in the majors in wOBA against righties while ranking third in the metric and seventh in xwOBA across the past 30 days.

Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail PHI (+121)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Philadelphia Phillies are trading as a 45% underdog on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to a 49% underdog against the Milwaukee Brewers on Wednesday. The edge really comes down to the sense of urgency for both teams. The Phillies are locked in a three-way battle for seeding in the NL Wild Card race, while the Brewers are in the driver's seat for the top seed in the NL and have already clinched a bye into the NLDS. I'd expect the Brewers to prioritize pitch-count preservation for Logan Henderson and their high-leverage bullpen arms, while the Phillies will be managing this game with a greater sense of urgency.

Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail MIL (-136)
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 hours ago
Chris Vasile logo
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Milwaukee has won eight of its last 10, and I like the pitching advantage with Logan Henderson. The right-hander owns a 2.51 ERA and 0.81 WHIP and has allowed just eight earned runs over his last five starts. Philadelphia counters with Aaron Nola and a bullpen carrying a 4.34 ERA. With the Brewers owning MLB's best record and getting the better starter and relief corps, -136 is a price I'm willing to lay.

Total Bases
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.
Total Bases
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh o1.5 Total Bases (+310)
Projection 1.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this season (12°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° mark last year.
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto logo
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.
Total Bases
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+137)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.
Total RBIs
Brice Turang logo
Brice Turang o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
Projection 0.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

49% picking Milwaukee

49%
51%

Total PicksMIL 258, PHI 267

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

43% picking Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under

57%
43%

Total PicksMIL 197, PHI 151

Total
Over
Under

MIL @ PHI · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
16.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
16.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.0 -112
DraftKings logo
SPREAD
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
PHI +1.5 spread
0.35 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
PHI +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -164
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's matchup.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Logan Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 12th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 -108
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. With a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brandon Marsh grades out in the 84th percentile.

o0.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.44% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-9.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-9.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o0.5 -162
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TOTAL HITS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich's true offensive talent to be a .320, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .019 difference between that figure and his actual .301 wOBA.

o0.5 -157
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

u1.5 -180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +310
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TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.21% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +163
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this season (12°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° mark last year.

u1.5 -220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o1.5 +135
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o1.5 +255
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TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o1.5 +150
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TOTAL BASES
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive talent to be a .325, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

u1.5 -190
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Yelich has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u1.5 -240
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +225
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TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +174
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o1.5 +220
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +188
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +320
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TOTAL BASES
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o1.5 +200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o0.5 +750
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 94.3-mph figure last year has dropped off to 92.3-mph.

u0.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive talent to be a .325, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this season (12°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° mark last year.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.35% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.2-mph figure last season has fallen to 89.2-mph.. Brandon Marsh has posted a .301 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Yelich has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's game.. With a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a tough challenge today.

u0.5 -1600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o0.5 +1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Garrett Mitchell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +1500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +1800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Logan Henderson logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
L. Henderson (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Logan Henderson logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
L. Henderson (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 19.3% underlying K%.. Dan Bellino grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Logan Henderson will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Logan Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u5.5 -125
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Dan Bellino grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in this game.

u5.5 -115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +231
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +300
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o0.5 +170
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +318
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o0.5 +303
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +287
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.

o0.5 +256
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +249
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +234
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o0.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Justin Crawford ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

u0.5 -500
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's game.. David Hamilton has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 40.3% to 45.5%.

o0.5 +310
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o1.5 -125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

o1.5 +112
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +184
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o1.5 +168
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +144
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.

o1.5 +127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +115
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.92% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +101
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o1.5 +113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +180
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u1.5 -225
Hard Rock Bet logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
16.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
16.04% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.0 -112
DraftKings logo
SPREAD
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
PHI +1.5 spread
0.35 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
PHI +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-1.2 DIFFERENCE
4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -164
Caesars logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
2.4% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.64% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.64% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 +120
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.99 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
1.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
1.46% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's game.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
0.32% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-2.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Aaron Nola will hold the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's matchup.

u0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-2.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

u0.5 +130
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.91 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Logan Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.88% EV

ANALYSIS

The #8 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Garrett Mitchell will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u0.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.01% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.01% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Crawford as the 12th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP ability.. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 -108
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. With a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Brandon Marsh grades out in the 84th percentile.

o0.5 +102
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.72 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.44% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -105
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-9.61% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-9.61% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o0.5 -162
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-13.68% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich's true offensive talent to be a .320, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .019 difference between that figure and his actual .301 wOBA.

o0.5 -157
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.65 PROJECTION
-0.9 DIFFERENCE
15.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

u1.5 -180
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
14.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +310
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.21% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +163
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.73 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this season (12°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° mark last year.

u1.5 -220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
10.55% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o1.5 +135
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o1.5 +255
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.23% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.59 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.23% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o1.5 +150
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
7.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive talent to be a .325, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

u1.5 -190
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.36% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Yelich has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u1.5 -240
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +225
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.30 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.39% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +190
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +174
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o1.5 +220
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.28 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-4.73% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +188
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +320
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.84 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o1.5 +200
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
5.38% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o0.5 +750
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.24 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Extreme groundball hitters like Kyle Schwarber are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Kyle Schwarber's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 94.3-mph figure last year has dropped off to 92.3-mph.

u0.5 -350
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o0.5 +600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brice Turang will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive talent to be a .325, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .026 difference between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.14 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.03% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Jake Bauers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jake Bauers's launch angle this season (12°) is considerably lower than his 16.6° mark last year.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.35% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +950
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 11.8-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Brandon Marsh's average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.2-mph figure last season has fallen to 89.2-mph.. Brandon Marsh has posted a .301 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Christian Yelich has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, Alec Bohm faces a tough challenge in today's game.. With a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Bohm is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.

u0.5 -2000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u0.5 -650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Batting from the same side that Logan Henderson throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have a tough challenge today.

u0.5 -1600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-8.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-8.42% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-17.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 field in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o0.5 +1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Garrett Mitchell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.03 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Luis Arraez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +1500
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best venue in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +1800
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Logan Henderson logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
L. Henderson (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Logan Henderson logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
L. Henderson (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 19.3% underlying K%.. Dan Bellino grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected batting order, Logan Henderson will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.. Logan Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

u5.5 -125
BetMGM logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Aaron Nola logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Nola (SP) 5.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

5.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
1.04% EV

ANALYSIS

Dan Bellino grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in this game.

u5.5 -115
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.72% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
19.72% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +231
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
18.45% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.46 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
18.15% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o0.5 +300
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
17.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o0.5 +206
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
16.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o0.5 +170
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
14.48% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +318
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o0.5 +303
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +287
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

o0.5 +180
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.54% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today.

o0.5 +200
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.02% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.

o0.5 +256
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.9% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o0.5 +249
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o0.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.29% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o0.5 +234
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Sal Frelick logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
S. Frelick (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.25% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Sal Frelick has been unlucky given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

o0.5 +250
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his home run ability, Justin Crawford ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.8-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for pitchers.. Among every team in action today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers.

u0.5 -500
Caesars logo
TOTAL RBIS
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-10.79% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, David Hamilton will have an advantage in today's game.. David Hamilton has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 40.3% to 45.5%.

o0.5 +310
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryce Harper logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Harper (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.01 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jackson Chourio logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Chourio (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.35 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
11.63% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio as the 16th-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph EV.

o1.5 -125
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Kyle Schwarber logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
K. Schwarber (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.90 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
11.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge today.

o1.5 +112
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brandon Marsh logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Marsh (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.12% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today's game.. Brandon Marsh has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +184
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Brice Turang logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
B. Turang (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.98 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
10.8% EV

ANALYSIS

Brice Turang's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brice Turang is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Trea Turner logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
T. Turner (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 20th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
J.T. Realmuto logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Realmuto (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.18% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .318, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .280 wOBA.

o1.5 +168
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
William Contreras logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
W. Contreras (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.14 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. William Contreras is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 9.6% to 12.8%.

o1.5 -120
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bryson Stott logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
B. Stott (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.9% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game.. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +144
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Yelich logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
C. Yelich (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.22% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Christian Yelich will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 17.3%.

o1.5 +127
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.76% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jake Bauers logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Bauers (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
5.76% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage today.

o1.5 +115
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Garrett Mitchell logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
G. Mitchell (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.92% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Nola today.. Garrett Mitchell has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Alec Bohm logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
A. Bohm (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Luis Arraez logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
L. Arraez (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.70 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-0.13% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Arraez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

o1.5 +101
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Joey Ortiz logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
J. Ortiz (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Joey Ortiz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 86.2-mph mark.

o1.5 +113
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Justin Crawford logo
Philadelphia Phillies image thumbnail
J. Crawford (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.23 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.13% EV

ANALYSIS

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Justin Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. Justin Crawford has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Justin Crawford tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Justin Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +180
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
David Hamilton logo
Milwaukee Brewers image thumbnail
D. Hamilton (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.8% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 13th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. David Hamilton is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for pitchers.

u1.5 -225
Hard Rock Bet logo

Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'alfimar10045' picks Milwaukee at (-135)

alfimar10045 is #1 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (81-45-2) and +16270 units on the season.

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MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'alfimar10045' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.0)

alfimar10045 is #1 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (81-45-2) and +16270 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total

'halfricanknight' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.5)

halfricanknight is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (58-34-1) and +16555 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'halfricanknight' picks Philadelphia at (120)

halfricanknight is #10 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (58-34-1) and +16555 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Moneyline

'glen2003' picks Milwaukee at (-135)

glen2003 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (87-62-2) and +20485 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'glen2003' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.0)

glen2003 is #2 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (87-62-2) and +20485 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'wallyswahoos' picks Philadelphia at (112)

wallyswahoos is #3 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (77-50-2) and +15120 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Moneyline

'Aitch' picks Philadelphia at (112)

Aitch is #3 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +19865 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'wallyswahoos' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.5)

wallyswahoos is #3 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (77-50-2) and +15120 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'Cartrevic' picks Milwaukee at (-145)

Cartrevic is #4 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (81-54-1) and +14730 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'Cartrevic' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Over (7.5)

Cartrevic is #4 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (81-54-1) and +14730 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'hackorama' picks Milwaukee at (-135)

hackorama is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (41-22-2) and +19740 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'hackorama' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.5)

hackorama is #4 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (41-22-2) and +19740 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'dude18555' picks Milwaukee at (-144)

dude18555 is #5 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (68-43-1) and +14710 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'dude18555' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Over (7.5)

dude18555 is #5 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (68-43-1) and +14710 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'stumpmaker' picks Philadelphia at (118)

stumpmaker is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (51-42-1) and +19675 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'stumpmaker' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.5)

stumpmaker is #5 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (51-42-1) and +19675 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'simoncald' picks Milwaukee at (-143)

simoncald is #6 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (46-35-0) and +19095 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'simoncald' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Under (7.5)

simoncald is #6 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (46-35-0) and +19095 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'MTruth' picks Milwaukee at (-135)

MTruth is #7 on picking games that Philadelphia is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +18255 units on the season.

Moneyline
MIL
PHI
Moneyline
Total

'nora99' picks Milwaukee vs Philadelphia to go Over (7.5)

nora99 is #8 on picking games that Milwaukee is in with a record of (80-60-2) and +13955 units on the season.

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Over
Under

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