Varsho has handled fastballs extremely well to begin the season, and Misiorowski has shown a tendency to give up hard contact when he utilizes the heater. That could set up the Jays outfielder for his third home run in four games.
Milwaukee Brewers starter Jacob Misiorowski sits around 98 mph on his four-seamer, which he uses at a 62% rate. Despite the early-season struggles, the Toronto Blue Jays have fared well against the fastball and should match up well against the youngster. Daulton Varsho leads the Blue Jays in hits against the four-seamer with a .365 average and a 60% hard-hit rate. Varsho has recorded a knock in four straight games while batting .412 over that span.
The Toronto Blue Jays are listed as +114 underdogs on the moneyline, and I’m hitting that number—I actually believe they should be slight favorites, closer to -110. The Brewers will be without Christian Yelich in the middle of their order, which means they’ll be relying on Jake Bauers and Gary Sánchez to provide power. Both are boom-or-bust hitters, and Kevin Gausman is well-equipped to take advantage of that. By tunneling his splitter off his four-seam fastball, Gausman should be able to keep them off balance and exploit their high swing-and-miss tendencies at the plate.