Arizona Diamondbacks

3rd in National League West (85 - 74)

Next Game

Fri, Sep 25 21:40 ET

AZ @ SD Picks

MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
Corbin Carroll logo Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total Home Runs (+400)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Corbin Carroll hasn’t hit for average, but he’s generated barrels at a remarkably high 20.2% clip against fastballs, splitters, and sliders over the last 25 games. That has led to an ISO of nearly .240.

It’s also worth noting Carroll’s had Casey Mize’s number, albeit over a limited sample. He is 4-6 with four hard hit balls and a triple against Mize.

Total
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail o7.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

A 7.5 total is a touch low, and I’m jumping on the Over to 54%.

Case Mize has allowed 3.3 runs per start with the San Diego Padres despite failing to complete five innings on average. 

Brandon Pfaadt has not been sharp (4.63 ERA, 4.23 xERA) over the last month. That should be exposed by a Padres offense sitting Top-5 in wOBA and SLG against righties in September.

Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Todd Cordell logo
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

I’m backing the Arizona Diamondbacks up to 50%.

Casey Mize has pitched to a 6.11 xERA and 6.64 ERA since the trade to San Diego while allowing 2.21 home runs per nine innings. 

The Diamondbacks rank Top-12 in average and SLG against right-handed pitching in September, and are potent enough to cause him problems.

Moneyline
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail AZ (+116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 18 hours ago
Jon Metler logo
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Arizona Diamondbacks are trading at 46% on Polymarket, and I'm hitting the button at that price, as I make them closer to 50% against the San Diego Padres. You can't have your back against the wall much more than the Diamondbacks do this weekend, as they basically need a sweep to have any hope of making the postseason. That should lead to their roster being managed like they're playing an elimination game, but I also really like the matchup for Brandon Pfaadt. The heart of the Padres' lineup is loaded with right-handed bats, and that's not a problem for Pfaadt, who has held right-handed hitters to a .599 OPS this season. His hard, sweeping slider runs away from the barrels of right-handed hitters, giving him a pitch that can neutralize the strength of San Diego's lineup. That's why the Diamondbacks have my attention at this price.

Total Hits
Dustin Harris logo
Dustin Harris u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Dustin Harris has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Dustin Harris has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+131)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Jesus Sanchez logo
Jesus Sanchez u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. This season, there has been a decline in Jesus Sanchez's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.01 ft/sec last year to 26.37 ft/sec currently.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+181)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.52
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.
Total RBIs
Gabriel Moreno logo
Gabriel Moreno o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.
Total RBIs
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total RBIs
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

40% picking Arizona

40%
60%

Total PicksAZ 159, SD 235

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

63% picking Arizona vs San Diego to go Over

63%
37%

Total PicksAZ 158, SD 94

Total
Over
Under

AZ @ SD · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.68% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -109
Caesars logo
SPREAD
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
AZ +1.5 spread
-0.18 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
AZ +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.18 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -182
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.98% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Dustin Harris has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Dustin Harris has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Jackson Merrill has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) in the last two weeks.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's talent is quite bad, posting a 3.86 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 41.6% on the season to 22.6% over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +225
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).. Over the past 7 days, Ty France's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.9%.

u0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this year (10.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.. Based on Statcast data, Jake Cronenworth is in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .233.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.

u0.5 +140
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.

u0.5 +125
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side against Casey Mize today.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.. In the past week, Manny Machado's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

u0.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. 24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Samad Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Samad Taylor has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Lars Nootbaar has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Lars Nootbaar's launch angle from last season's 15.9° to 9.9° this season.

u0.5 +130
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Gabriel Moreno has put up a .364 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

o0.5 -192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.73% EV

ANALYSIS

This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 -121
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +135
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. This season, there has been a decline in Jesus Sanchez's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.01 ft/sec last year to 26.37 ft/sec currently.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this year (10.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.. Jake Cronenworth has averaged 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Jake Cronenworth sits with a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o1.5 +151
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. 24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.. Pavin Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has decreased to 5.5% this year.

u1.5 -275
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

u1.5 -220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u1.5 -240
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.

u1.5 -240
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +165
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +265
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno today.. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Gabriel Moreno has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.67% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Ethan Salas ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Nolan Arenado has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.. Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year, compiling a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.6° to 5.4° this season.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samad Taylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Samad Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Samad Taylor has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.. Posting a .174 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Xander Bogaerts has performed in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).. Over the past 7 days, Ty France's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.9%.. Ty France has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .050 difference.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side against Casey Mize today.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.. Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Dustin Harris ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This year, Dustin Harris has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Dustin Harris has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.. In the past week, Manny Machado's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

u0.5 -600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jesus Sanchez ranks in just the 23rd percentile with a 10.7° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the game.. Sporting a 3.75 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 -1700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.. Luis Campusano has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.. Luis Campusano's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 76.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.. Pavin Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has decreased to 5.5% this year.. Pavin Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has dropped off to 88.8-mph.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +600
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 -550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Jackson Merrill has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) in the last two weeks.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's talent is quite bad, posting a 3.86 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

u0.5 -700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Brandon Pfaadt logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
B. Pfaadt (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Pfaadt logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
B. Pfaadt (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park ranks as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt's 2502-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.. Considering the 1.2 difference between Brandon Pfaadt's 6.10 K/9 and his 7.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in the future.

o3.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +181
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.95% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o0.5 +220
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TOTAL RBIS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o0.5 +246
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +195
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o0.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 +270
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +295
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Using Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

o0.5 +275
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +250
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +265
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days.. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (46.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +245
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +255
BetRivers logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +265
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +340
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ethan Salas in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

u0.5 -325
BetMGM logo
TOTAL RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Campusano has performed in the 88th percentile.

o0.5 +240
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +132
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o1.5 +115
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.79% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o1.5 -102
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 -107
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days.. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (46.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +140
Hard Rock Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -150
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.26% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Using Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

o1.5 +130
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.45% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ethan Salas in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

u1.5 -160
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -108
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Campusano has performed in the 88th percentile.

o1.5 +130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +158
DraftKings logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total
8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail San Diego Padres image thumbnail
Over 7.5 Total

PROJECTION

8.49 PROJECTION
+1.0 DIFFERENCE
11.68% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -109
Caesars logo
SPREAD
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
AZ +1.5 spread
-0.18 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
AZ +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.18 PROJECTION
-1.7 DIFFERENCE
5.93% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

+1.5 -182
BetRivers logo
TOTAL HITS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
7.98% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Dustin Harris has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Dustin Harris has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.

u0.5 +175
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.97 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
4.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Jackson Merrill has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) in the last two weeks.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's talent is quite bad, posting a 3.86 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

u0.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.10 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
3.34% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 41.6% on the season to 22.6% over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +225
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.89% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).. Over the past 7 days, Ty France's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.9%.

u0.5 +175
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
2.7% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this year (10.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.. Based on Statcast data, Jake Cronenworth is in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .233.

u0.5 +125
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.59% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.

u0.5 +110
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.39% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.

u0.5 +140
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.

u0.5 +125
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.93 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-1.34% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side against Casey Mize today.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.

u0.5 +165
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.

u0.5 +145
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.21% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.. In the past week, Manny Machado's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

u0.5 +165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.41% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. 24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.

u0.5 +110
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Samad Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Samad Taylor has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 +110
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.80 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.43% EV

ANALYSIS

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Hits
0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.87% EV

ANALYSIS

This year, Lars Nootbaar has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Lars Nootbaar's launch angle from last season's 15.9° to 9.9° this season.

u0.5 +130
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Hits
1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-5.43% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.. Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Gabriel Moreno has put up a .364 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

o0.5 -192
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.

u0.5 +125
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.73% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-11.73% EV

ANALYSIS

This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 -121
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
13.79% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.78 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 +135
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.87% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases
0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.66 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. This season, there has been a decline in Jesus Sanchez's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.01 ft/sec last year to 26.37 ft/sec currently.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
7.83% EV

ANALYSIS

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Jake Cronenworth's launch angle this year (10.9°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.5° mark last year.. Jake Cronenworth has averaged 11.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 18th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Checking in at the 12th percentile, Jake Cronenworth sits with a .284 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.3% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o1.5 +151
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.96% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 25th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. 24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.. Pavin Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has decreased to 5.5% this year.

u1.5 -275
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.88 PROJECTION
-0.6 DIFFERENCE
6.92% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.

u1.5 -220
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
6.81% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 +105
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases
0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.78% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano's BABIP skill is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.

u1.5 -260
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 3rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

u1.5 -240
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.82 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
6.16% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.

u1.5 -240
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.81% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.33 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-1.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +165
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.02 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-4.86% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +265
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-7.1% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gabriel Moreno today.. Gabriel Moreno has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Gabriel Moreno will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Gabriel Moreno has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-2.67% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his home run ability, Ethan Salas ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

u0.5 -1200
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.. Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Nolan Arenado has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 6.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.. Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year, compiling a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .045 disparity.

u0.5 -750
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.32% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-3.32% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 9.6° to 5.4° this season.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.04 PROJECTION
-0.5 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samad Taylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Samad Taylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. This year, Samad Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Batting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Samad Taylor has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

u0.5 -2400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.57% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity on the slate today (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-3.75% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.. Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts's launch angle this year (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.3° angle last year.. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 3.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.3%.. Posting a .174 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Xander Bogaerts has performed in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.21% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ty France faces a tough challenge in today's game.. Today, Ty France is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).. Over the past 7 days, Ty France's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.9%.. Ty France has been lucky this year, notching a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .050 difference.

u0.5 -850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-4.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his bad side against Casey Mize today.. Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today.. Ketel Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 -500
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.08 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.05% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Dustin Harris ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. This year, Dustin Harris has been pulled from the game early in 16% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Dustin Harris pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest RF fences today.. Dustin Harris has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) over the past week.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's matchup.. Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.. In the past week, Manny Machado's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

u0.5 -600
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.33% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.33% EV

ANALYSIS

Jesus Sanchez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.. This year, Jesus Sanchez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 42% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jesus Sanchez ranks in just the 23rd percentile with a 10.7° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the game.. Sporting a 3.75 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has displayed poor plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

u0.5 -1100
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.06 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 10th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.6 mph to 86.2 mph.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 20.2% to 14.5%.. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.

u0.5 -1700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.94% EV

ANALYSIS

Luis Campusano is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Luis Campusano encounters a tough challenge today.. Luis Campusano has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past 14 days.. Luis Campusano's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.2-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 76.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

u0.5 -1400
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.12 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.09% EV

ANALYSIS

24% of the time that Pavin Smith has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pavin Smith in today's matchup.. Pavin Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.7% rate last year has decreased to 5.5% this year.. Pavin Smith's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has dropped off to 88.8-mph.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.16 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.6% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +600
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.98% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.17 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-6.98% EV

ANALYSIS

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

u0.5 -550
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.18 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-7.71% EV

ANALYSIS

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.6°, Jackson Merrill has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2°) in the last two weeks.. When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill's talent is quite bad, posting a 3.86 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

u0.5 -700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-26.48% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Brandon Pfaadt logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
B. Pfaadt (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brandon Pfaadt logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
B. Pfaadt (SP) 3.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.24 PROJECTION
+0.7 DIFFERENCE
7.51% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park ranks as the #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense.. Brandon Pfaadt's 2502-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.. Considering the 1.2 difference between Brandon Pfaadt's 6.10 K/9 and his 7.30 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and should perform better in the future.

o3.5 -110
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.60 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.65% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o0.5 +181
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.52 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.95% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o0.5 +220
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TOTAL RBIS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
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Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
12.2% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o0.5 +246
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TOTAL RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.56 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
11.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o0.5 +195
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TOTAL RBIS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
10.35% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o0.5 +210
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TOTAL RBIS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
10.19% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o0.5 +270
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TOTAL RBIS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.56% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o0.5 +295
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TOTAL RBIS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.08% EV

ANALYSIS

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Using Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

o0.5 +275
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TOTAL RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
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Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
7.66% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +190
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TOTAL RBIS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.48% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
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Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
7.48% EV

ANALYSIS

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.

o0.5 +250
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TOTAL RBIS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.99% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +265
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TOTAL RBIS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.43 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days.. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (46.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +245
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TOTAL RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
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Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.54% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o0.5 +255
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TOTAL RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.91% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o0.5 +265
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TOTAL RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-1.58% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o0.5 +175
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TOTAL RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
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Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-2.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +340
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TOTAL RBIS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.27 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ethan Salas in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

u0.5 -325
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TOTAL RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
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Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Campusano has performed in the 88th percentile.

o0.5 +240
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Lars Nootbaar logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
L. Nootbaar (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
14.3% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +132
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Gabriel Moreno logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Moreno (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.00 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
13.71% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289.

o1.5 +115
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.79% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Corbin Carroll logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
C. Carroll (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
11.79% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.. Corbin Carroll has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week's worth of games — 110.7-mph — which is a strong indicator of recent form and raw power.

o1.5 +123
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Manny Machado logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
M. Machado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.57% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

o1.5 -105
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Ketel Marte logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
K. Marte (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.06 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Ketel Marte has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .027 gap.

o1.5 -102
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Jackson Merrill logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Merrill (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

o1.5 -107
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Nolan Arenado logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
N. Arenado (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Nolan Arenado has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 87.2-mph over the last 14 days.. Nolan Arenado's launch angle lately (46.7° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +140
Hard Rock Bet logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pavin Smith logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
P. Smith (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's game.

o1.5 +165
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
F. Tatis Jr. (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.27 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
6.35% EV

ANALYSIS

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

o1.5 -150
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.26% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jesus Sanchez logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
J. Sanchez (DH) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.36 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
6.26% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

o1.5 +185
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Geraldo Perdomo logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
G. Perdomo (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.67% EV

ANALYSIS

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 15th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Using Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

o1.5 +130
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HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.45% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Tim Tawa logo
Arizona Diamondbacks image thumbnail
T. Tawa (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.49 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
4.45% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Tim Tawa has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

o1.5 +150
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Dustin Harris logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
D. Harris (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.66 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
3.38% EV

ANALYSIS

Dustin Harris is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Dustin Harris will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.. Dustin Harris is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +108
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Xander Bogaerts logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
X. Bogaerts (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
3.22% EV

ANALYSIS

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

o1.5 +115
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.5% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Ethan Salas logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
E. Salas (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
1.5% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ethan Salas in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Ethan Salas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.. Petco Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

u1.5 -160
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jake Cronenworth logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
J. Cronenworth (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
0.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Petco Park has the shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today.. Jake Cronenworth may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

o1.5 +135
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Ty France logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
T. France (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.85 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
-0.81% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ty France is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -108
BetRivers logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Luis Campusano logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
L. Campusano (C) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.48 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-4.78% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 44th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Luis Campusano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Posting a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Campusano has performed in the 88th percentile.

o1.5 +130
FanDuel logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Samad Taylor logo
San Diego Padres image thumbnail
S. Taylor (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.31 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.63% EV

ANALYSIS

Samad Taylor's BABIP ability is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. This contest is projected to have the 16th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Samad Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Samad Taylor will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +158
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Top User Picks

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User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Total

'CC95531' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Under (7.5)

CC95531 is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (69-59-4) and +10260 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'CC95531' picks San Diego at (-137)

CC95531 is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (69-59-4) and +10260 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'tonloc4554' picks San Diego at (-137)

tonloc4554 is #10 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (35-26-2) and +12020 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

'rollonotes' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (82-51-5) and +17165 units on the season.

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Under
Moneyline

'rollonotes' picks San Diego at (-142)

rollonotes is #2 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (82-51-5) and +17165 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'DavePaliwoda' picks San Diego at (-138)

DavePaliwoda is #4 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (75-62-5) and +14865 units on the season.

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AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

'DavePaliwoda' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

DavePaliwoda is #4 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (75-62-5) and +14865 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Total

'Infinite-H' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Over (7.0)

Infinite-H is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (44-33-2) and +12540 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'Infinite-H' picks Arizona at (118)

Infinite-H is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (44-33-2) and +12540 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'madnkrazy' picks Arizona at (115)

madnkrazy is #6 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +12220 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'RedskinsWoman' picks Arizona at (111)

RedskinsWoman is #6 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (40-24-3) and +14440 units on the season.

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AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

'jktheoneandonly' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

jktheoneandonly is #7 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (47-30-3) and +13415 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'glen2003' picks Arizona at (111)

glen2003 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (79-67-5) and +11960 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

'glen2003' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Under (7.5)

glen2003 is #7 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (79-67-5) and +11960 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'alfimar10045' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Under (7.5)

alfimar10045 is #8 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (67-58-4) and +13110 units on the season.

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Over
Under
Moneyline

'alfimar10045' picks Arizona at (114)

alfimar10045 is #8 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (67-58-4) and +13110 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Moneyline

'TJJohnson03' picks San Diego at (-138)

TJJohnson03 is #9 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (78-60-4) and +12680 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
SD
Moneyline
Total

'TJJohnson03' picks Arizona vs San Diego to go Under (7.0)

TJJohnson03 is #9 on picking games that San Diego is in with a record of (78-60-4) and +12680 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'donvan918' picks San Diego at (-139)

donvan918 is #9 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (48-27-1) and +10675 units on the season.

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AZ
SD
Moneyline

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