Arizona Diamondbacks

3rd in National League West (9 - 8)

Next Game

AZArizona Arizona
at
Baltimore BALBaltimore
Tue, Apr 14 18:35 ET

AZ @ BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Best Odds
o1.5 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
o1.5  -120
o1.5  -120
o1.5  -125
o1.5  -115
o1.5  -117
o1.5  -110

After finishing fourth in the AL MVP race in 2024, Gunnar Henderson had a bit of a down year in 2025. However, he's hitting the ball well again and has a great matchup today. Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile in overall offensive talent according to THE BAT X, and he's slugging .691 over the last two weeks. He'll have the platoon advantage at home against Arizona starter Merril Kelly and there's a 13 mph breeze blowing towards the outfield at hitter-friendly Camden Yards. Kelly is making his season debut after dealing with a back ailment and he logged a 4.16 xERA in 32 starts last year. The D-Backs have one of the worst bullpens in the majors behind him.

Read Full Analysis
Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+427)
Best Odds
o0.5 +420 FanDuel
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +364
o0.5  +350
o0.5  +420
o0.5  +250
o0.5  +320
o0.5  +365

Pete Alonso crushed a home run on Monday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and a fan in a Polar Bear costume caught it—if that’s not a sign to run it back on Tuesday, I don’t know what is. Alonso is listed at +427 to hit a home run, but I make the fair price closer to +350. The weather at Camden Yards is also favorable, with the wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph and temperatures expected to be in the high 80s—ideal conditions for power hitting. If you’re into BvP, you’ll also like that Alonso has three home runs in 19 career at-bats against Merrill Kelly.

Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Best Odds
o0.5 +420 FanDuel
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
o0.5  +364
o0.5  +350
o0.5  +420
o0.5  +250
o0.5  +320
o0.5  +365

There were seven homers hit at Camden Yards yesterday, with one coming off the bat of Pete Alonso, who is +EV for a dinger today at +390 with a fair price around +340, per THE BAT. It’s another great setting with double-digit winds blowing out and Merrill Kelly making his first start of the season before handing it over to a bullpen that got tagged for seven runs over just nine outs yesterday. Alonso is the bat to target in this lineup, boasting the best Blast Contact% numbers in the clubhouse — roughly double that of Gunnar Henderson. The final piece is familiarity. Alonso has seen Kelly 19 times, which leans in the hitter’s favor, and the Polar Bear has gone deep three times in those matchups.

Read Full Analysis
Total Hits
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers u0.5 Total Hits (+170)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
u0.5 +170 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +133
u0.5  +170
 -
u0.5  +130
u0.5  +121
u0.5  +130
Dylan Beavers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best of the day).. Dylan Beavers's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.2-mph in the past week.. Dylan Beavers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 3.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
+170 at bet365
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+202)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
u0.5 +202 bet365
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +201
u0.5  +202
 -
u0.5  +165
u0.5  +155
u0.5  +175
Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage today.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Pete Alonso's launch angle this year (8.7°) is considerably lower than his 15.3° mark last year.. Over the last week, Pete Alonso's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.9%.
+202 at bet365
Total Hits
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
u0.5 +190 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
u0.5  +169
u0.5  +190
 -
u0.5  +140
u0.5  +156
u0.5  +150
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Samuel Basallo's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 87.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.. This year, there has been a decline in Samuel Basallo's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.65 ft/sec last year to 22.65 ft/sec currently.. Samuel Basallo has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last week.
+190 at bet365
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.28
Best Odds
o1.5 +100 BetMGM
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -105
o1.5  -105
o1.5  -125
o1.5  +100
o1.5  -106
o1.5  +100
Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Trevor Rogers.
+100 at BetMGM
Total Bases
James McCann logo
James McCann u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
u1.5 -170 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u1.5  -193
u1.5  -280
 -
 -
 -
u1.5  -170
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, James McCann ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. James McCann is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. 13% of the time that James McCann has started against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.. James McCann will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. This season, there has been a decline in James McCann's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.43 ft/sec last year to 25.1 ft/sec currently.
-170 at Fanatics Sportsbook
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
u1.5 -170 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -170
 -
 -
u1.5  -182
 -
Dylan Beavers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 39% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best of the day).. Dylan Beavers's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.2-mph in the past week.. Dylan Beavers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 3.6% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
-170 at bet365
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
o1.5 +140 BetMGM
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +120
o1.5  +110
o1.5  +120
o1.5  +140
o1.5  +117
o1.5  +130
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
+140 at BetMGM
Total Bases
Colton Cowser logo
Colton Cowser u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
u1.5 -220 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u1.5  -220
 -
 -
 -
 -
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Colton Cowser has been pulled from the game early 39% of the time.. Colton Cowser has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences today.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Over the past week, Colton Cowser's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 16.7%.
-220 at bet365
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
o1.5 +135 bet365
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +114
o1.5  +135
o1.5  +105
o1.5  +115
o1.5  +119
o1.5  +115
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corbin Carroll ranks as the 18th-best batter in the league.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.. Corbin Carroll pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
+135 at bet365
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.19
Best Odds
o1.5 -110 Fanatics Sportsbook
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  -120
o1.5  -120
o1.5  -125
o1.5  -115
o1.5  -117
o1.5  -110
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters.
-110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Moneyline

65% picking Baltimore

35%
65%

Total PicksAZ 235, BAL 440

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

66% picking Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over

66%
34%

Total PicksAZ 296, BAL 150

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Total

'cddef' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (8.5)

cddef is #1 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +6375 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Under (8.5)

pittsburghphil is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'pittsburghphil' picks Baltimore at (-145)

pittsburghphil is #1 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +7550 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'knuckleheadsmiths' picks Baltimore at (-140)

knuckleheadsmiths is #10 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (3-1-0) and +5025 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

'BillyJack' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (8.5)

BillyJack is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'BillyJack' picks Baltimore at (-145)

BillyJack is #3 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (9-5-0) and +4900 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

'BPD72' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (9.0)

BPD72 is #3 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +5995 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Total

'Jerrybook' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Under (8.5)

Jerrybook is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +4825 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'Jerrybook' picks Arizona at (120)

Jerrybook is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +4825 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'PSL21' picks Baltimore at (-145)

PSL21 is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (8-6-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

'PSL21' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (8.5)

PSL21 is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (8-6-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Total

'StevenB606' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (9.0)

StevenB606 is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5475 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'StevenB606' picks Arizona at (115)

StevenB606 is #5 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (10-6-0) and +5475 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'chowchow' picks Baltimore at (-140)

chowchow is #6 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (2-2-0) and +5325 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'Freakwater' picks Arizona at (115)

Freakwater is #6 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4800 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'Roundrobinking' picks Baltimore at (-135)

Roundrobinking is #7 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

'Roundrobinking' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (9.0)

Roundrobinking is #7 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4600 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'WOODENICKLE' picks Arizona at (110)

WOODENICKLE is #8 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4525 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Moneyline

'DaBoss80' picks Arizona at (115)

DaBoss80 is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +5225 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154
Total

'DaBoss80' picks Arizona vs Baltimore to go Over (9.0)

DaBoss80 is #8 on picking games that Arizona is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +5225 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -115
9 -120
Moneyline

'SDK' picks Baltimore at (-145)

SDK is #9 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (4-4-0) and +4250 units on the season.

Moneyline
AZ
BAL
Moneyline
+146
-154

Pages Related to This Topic

Sports Betting Arizona
States With Legal Sports Betting
MLB Betting Sites
Best Sportsbook Promos
Best Arizona Sportsbook Promotions
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.