Detroit @ Houston Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball hitters like Yordan Alvarez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reese Olson. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Baez generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryan Gusto.

The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. Dillon Dingler has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week. Dillon Dingler has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 92.7-mph. Dillon Dingler's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (20.4° in the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 17.3° seasonal angle.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Isaac Paredes tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reese Olson. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.4°, Yainer Diaz has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30° mark over the past week.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Jace Jung will have the upper hand in today's game. Jace Jung has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Spencer Torkelson has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 18.6% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past 7 days. Spencer Torkelson's launch angle in recent games (28.7° over the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 20.5° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Zachary Dezenzo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Zachary Dezenzo has been hot of late, compiling a a 22.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power) in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Gleyber Torres has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90-mph figure. Gleyber Torres's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (18.9°) is quite a bit better than his 14° angle last year. In the last week, Gleyber Torres has posted a 24.9° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Riley Greene will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. Riley Greene has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Riley Greene's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (40.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage today. Jake Meyers has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph figure. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .223 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.

Zach McKinstry has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. Over the past week, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph lately. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.3% to 20.3%. In the past week's worth of games, Zach McKinstry's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 12.1% to 19.4%. By putting up a .267 batting average since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon grades out in the 80th percentile.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Christian Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Christian Walker has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.

Trey Sweeney will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Gusto in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Trey Sweeney has suffered from bad luck this year. His .274 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Colt Keith's batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Colt Keith will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Colt Keith has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.324) provides evidence that Colt Keith has experienced some negative variance this year with his .267 actual wOBA.

Chas McCormick's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Chas McCormick will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Chas McCormick ranks in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (20.1% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 86th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.67 ft/sec since the start of last season, Chas McCormick is quite fast.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.5°, Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 56° angle in the past week. Kerry Carpenter has put up a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.