Seattle @ Toronto Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, J.P. Crawford's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%. J.P. Crawford has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .204 BA is a fair amount lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the best batter in baseball when assessing his BABIP ability. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Julio Rodriguez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 91.7-mph EV. Despite posting a .299 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky given the .062 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.9-mph average to last season's 94.2-mph EV. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.9% to 18.9%.

The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Because of Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. Bo Bichette has compiled a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile.

The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Myles Straw has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 22.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 10°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Wagner in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Will Wagner will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Will Wagner is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Will Wagner hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Will Wagner with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryan Woo who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. George Springer will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's game. Luke Raley hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the last week, Luke Raley's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.8% up to 25%.

Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an advantage today. Miles Mastrobuoni hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Miles Mastrobuoni's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.6-mph over the course of the season to 92.4-mph recently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.290) implies that Miles Mastrobuoni has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .240 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Benjamin Williamson's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Bats such as Benjamin Williamson with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bowden Francis who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Dylan Moore has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Dylan Moore's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alan Roden in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Alan Roden will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo today... and even more favorably, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alan Roden has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like Alan Roden usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryan Woo.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage today. Grading out in the 82nd percentile, Anthony Santander has put up a .342 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Toronto (#3-worst on the slate today). Cal Raleigh has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last season to 22.4% this season. In the last week's worth of games, Cal Raleigh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 22.4% up to 50%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ernie Clement has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 88.7-mph in the past 7 days.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Rowdy Tellez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 13% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week. Rowdy Tellez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 97.5-mph over the last week. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 56.5% on the season to 71.4% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Jorge Polanco has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week. This season, Jorge Polanco has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 93 mph mark.