Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Cooper Criswell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 91-mph in the last 7 days. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, notching a .389 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .366 — a .023 deviation.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Cooper Criswell will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Salvador Perez's true offensive skill to be a .322, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .024 gap between that mark and his actual .346 wOBA.

Maikel Garcia is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 97% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Maikel Garcia will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today's game. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.7-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90-mph.

Connor Wong's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Connor Wong is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

Masataka Yoshida's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.

The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Cole Ragans throws from, Jarren Duran encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Over the past week, Jarren Duran's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

Adam Frazier is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino has notched a .247 BABIP this year, ranking in the 12th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 17th-best batter in the league. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's RF fences are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even better, Criswell has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The #6 field in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Given Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Michael Massey will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Jamie Westbrook will have an edge in today's matchup.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for righty BABIP. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats. Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hunter Renfroe's launch angle this season (19°) is significantly better than his 14.9° figure last season.