Boston @ New York Picks & Props

BOS vs NYY Picks

MLB Picks
Hit a Home Run
Giancarlo Stanton logo Giancarlo Stanton Hit a Home Run (Yes: +361)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Boston ace Garrett Crochet has been dealing, but his hard-throwing arsenal does make him somewhat susceptible to the long ball. He's surrendered 24 home runs this year. Out of the Yankees' biggest hitters, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are the only two who will have the platoon advantage against Crochet. I'll take the better payout with Stanton since he jacked 24 homers in just 77 games during the regular season, giving him only a slightly lower home runs per game average than Judge (.312 compared to .349).  Stanton also upped his production at home, where he slugged .657.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Alex Bregman logo Alex Bregman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Bregman had a solid first year in Boston, hitting .273 with an .821 OPS, including 18-home runs and 62 RBIs. He also mashes lefties for a .319 average and an .855 OPS, and Fried is no exception to that. The Red Sox’s slugger is 5-for-13 (.385) with a home run in his career vs. Fried, whose expected ERA is nearly a run higher than his normal ERA and is about league average when it comes to strikeouts.

MoneyLine
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

Both starters have been great but Boston's Garrett Crochet has been slightly better. He has a 2.59 ERA with an xERA of 2.93 while Yankees lefty Max Fried has a 2.86 ERA with an xERA of 3.39. Crochet also excelled against the Yankees going 3-0 with a 3.29 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP. Fried has had mixed results in the postseason, logging a 5.10 ERA across 67 innings and getting shelled when he pitched in the NL Wild Card last year. In addition, Boston's bullpen was second in the majors in ERA (3.41) and WAR (6.9) while Yankees relievers were 23rd in ERA (4.37) and 21st in WAR (2.8). I'll lean towards the team with the slightly better pitching at plus money here. 

MoneyLine
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

The Red Sox are +115 underdogs at Caesars in Game 1 of their Wild Card series against the Yankees, and I’m backing Boston at that number. I make this closer to even money. Garrett Crochet gets the ball with a fully rested bullpen behind him, and Game 1 is a must-win spot the Red Sox will manage aggressively. The Yankees’ lineup leans heavily left-handed, and while some of them handle lefties just fine, this isn’t your average southpaw. Left-handed hitters posted just a .166 average and a .455 OPS against Crochet this season. Yes, the Yankees have home-field advantage, but in a short series, that pressure can cut the other way.

Strikeouts Thrown
Garrett Crochet logo
Garrett Crochet u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Projection 6.74 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Garrett Crochet is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.. The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The New York Yankees have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in this matchup.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Garrett Crochet in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today.
Outs Recorded
Garrett Crochet logo
Garrett Crochet u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 15.51 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Garrett Crochet is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-most of all pitchers today.. The New York Yankees projected offense profiles as the 3rd-best of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The New York Yankees have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in this matchup.
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 1.21 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the game's 17th-best home run hitter.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-128)
Projection 1.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Austin Wells has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 100.8-mph over the past week.. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 20.5° this season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Masataka Yoshida logo
Masataka Yoshida o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Outs Recorded
Max Fried logo
Max Fried u17.5 Outs Recorded (+112)
Projection 16.44 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Boston's 90.2-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in the game: #3 overall.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.39 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.42 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Trent Grisham as the game's 17th-best home run hitter.. Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nick Sogard logo
Nick Sogard o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-119)
Projection 1.22 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in MLB.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Fried.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.0) provides evidence that Nick Sogard has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 0.0 actual HR/600.. Nick Sogard has posted a .259 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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BOS vs NYY Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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There are no Consensus Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Consensus to see all Consensus picks.

Consensus Picks

BOS vs NYY Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

Masataka Yoshida
M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masataka Yoshida is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Masataka Yoshida has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Masataka Yoshida is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP. Masataka Yoshida has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.6-mph.

Nick Sogard Total Hits Props • Boston

Nick Sogard
N. Sogard
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Fried. Nick Sogard has posted a .259 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Sogard grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (52.9% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Nick Sogard's launch angle since the start of last season (24.8°) is in the 89th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Nick Sogard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Nick Sogard will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Fried. Nick Sogard has posted a .259 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Sogard grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (52.9% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Nick Sogard's launch angle since the start of last season (24.8°) is in the 89th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
third base 3B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

Amed Rosario's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

Amed Rosario's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Amed Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.56
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 49.1%.

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.56
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.56

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.1-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 49.1%.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

Jarren Duran
J. Duran
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In notching a .327 BABIP this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 86th percentile.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. In notching a .327 BABIP this year, Jarren Duran has performed in the 86th percentile.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Anthony Volpe
A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.2° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.2°, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.2° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Jazz Chisholm Jr.
J. Chisholm Jr.
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (37.7% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

Austin Slater Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Austin Slater
A. Slater
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.67
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Slater has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last season to 14.9% this season. Austin Slater has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph mark. Austin Slater's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.8% to 17.7%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has experienced some negative variance this year. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

Austin Slater

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.67
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.67

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Slater has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 3.4% rate last season to 14.9% this season. Austin Slater has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88.2-mph mark. Austin Slater's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.8% to 17.7%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Austin Slater has experienced some negative variance this year. His .280 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .320.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Trent Grisham
T. Grisham
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (22.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal mark.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.63
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.63

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Trent Grisham will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Trent Grisham's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (22.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 19.1° seasonal mark.

Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • Boston

Carlos Narvaez
C. Narvaez
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
Best Odds

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Carlos Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.72
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.72

Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an advantage in today's game. Carlos Narvaez has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Carlos Narvaez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 93.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

Rob Refsnyder
R. Refsnyder
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's matchup. Rob Refsnyder has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.77

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's matchup. Rob Refsnyder has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Boston

Alex Bregman
A. Bregman
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.88
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.88
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.88

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

Ceddanne Rafaela
C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 42% on the season to 56.3% over the past week.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have the upper hand in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 42% on the season to 56.3% over the past week.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Aaron Judge
A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trevor Story Total Hits Props • Boston

Trevor Story
T. Story
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge in today's game. Trevor Story has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Trevor Story

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Trevor Story will have an edge in today's game. Trevor Story has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Paul Goldschmidt
P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.87
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.87
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.87

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Austin Wells Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Austin Wells
A. Wells
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.58
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 100.8-mph over the past week. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 20.5° this season.

Austin Wells

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.58
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.58

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Austin Wells has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 100.8-mph over the past week. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 20.5° this season.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

Romy Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Romy Gonzalez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Romy Gonzalez will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Romy Gonzalez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Nate Eaton Total Hits Props • Boston

Nate Eaton
N. Eaton
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.58
Best Odds

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nate Eaton will have an edge in today's game. Nate Eaton is notably quick, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.7 ft/sec this year.

Nate Eaton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.58
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.58

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nate Eaton will have an edge in today's game. Nate Eaton is notably quick, checking in at the 97th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.7 ft/sec this year.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Cody Bellinger
C. Bellinger
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cody Bellinger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

Giancarlo Stanton
G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.68
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Giancarlo Stanton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.68
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.68

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Giancarlo Stanton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Boston Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 dispnum1 5-5-0 +16630
2 stakay125 7-3-0 +16380
3 Jackson2399 6-4-0 +15369
4 regger22 8-2-0 +14785
5 Andrew333_ 7-3-0 +13995
6 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +13785
7 Shitman 8-2-0 +13440
8 Coakley 7-3-0 +12975
9 Sandsaver727 3-7-0 +12835
10 TheTotalMan 9-1-0 +12815
All Red Sox Money Leaders

NY Yankees Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 TAURO1954 6-4-0 +20640
2 faustobaez 5-5-0 +18570
3 faustobone 5-5-0 +18455
4 proliner55 7-3-0 +17645
5 cucamonga 6-4-0 +17345
6 Jets73 8-2-0 +16105
7 Hawggolf1 5-5-0 +16085
8 burley 7-3-0 +15930
9 poppyg 6-4-0 +15772
10 Fekete 7-3-0 +14610
All Yankees Money Leaders
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