Chicago vs Miami Picks & Props

The Chicago White Sox have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Everson Pereira, Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery). LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Chris Paddack will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories. Considering the 0.44 disparity between Chris Paddack's 6.38 K/9 and his 6.82 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in the future.

The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Griffin Conine, Owen Caissie). LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Davis Martin's 2410-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers. With a 0.6 disparity between Davis Martin's 6.56 K/9 and his 7.16 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see positive regression going forward.