Colorado vs Miami Picks & Props

The Colorado Rockies have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brenton Doyle, Hunter Goodman, Jordan Beck). Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to less offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Max Meyer will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Meyer's 2513-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Max Meyer must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls a lot since the start of last season: 64.1% of the time, ranking in the 86th percentile.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jose Quintana in the 8th percentile among all starters in MLB. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Quintana to throw 85 pitches in this game (8th-most of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup. Stu Scheurwater profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense. Jose Quintana will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.