Athletics vs Atlanta Picks & Props

Jacob Lopez is expected to throw 83 pitches in this game, which is the 10th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup. Projected catcher Shea Langeliers projects as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Because of his large platoon split, Jacob Lopez will have a tough matchup facing 6 hitters in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in this game. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Lopez in today's matchup.

The Athletics have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Denzel Clarke, Max Muncy, Nick Kurtz). Truist Park grades out as the #10 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hurlers. Because groundball pitchers hold a sizeable edge over groundball bats, Bryce Elder and his 47.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable spot today being matched up with 3 opposing GB bats. Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bryce Elder will hold that advantage in today's matchup.