New York @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Eury Perez today.

Starling Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Bats such as Starling Marte with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Eury Perez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. In the past week's worth of games, Starling Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 22.2%. Starling Marte has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph mark.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Mark Vientos has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 91.5-mph average.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Liam Hicks will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Liam Hicks and his 21.7% rank in the 100th percentile this year.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today's game. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last 14 days, Juan Soto has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 18.4% to 23.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Francisco Lindor has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days. Francisco Lindor has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.3-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Francisco Lindor has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 22.4° figure in the past 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today. Over the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.1-mph in recent games. Brandon Nimmo has recorded a .269 batting average this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Graham Pauley will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Graham Pauley's 18° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 80th percentile. Graham Pauley has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 82nd percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Jeff McNeil has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21° angle in the last week's worth of games. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 39.9% to 47.6%. Posting a 1.03 K/BB rate this year, Jeff McNeil has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Over the last week, Francisco Alvarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.7% up to 37.5%. Francisco Alvarez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph average. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 93.5-mph EV. Sporting a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez has performed in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Otto Lopez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.7-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. Pete Alonso has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last year to 18.5% this season. Pete Alonso has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 89.7-mph mark.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Heriberto Hernandez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 14 days. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95-mph over the last 14 days. In notching a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Heriberto Hernandez is positioned in the 83rd percentile.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in LoanDepot Park. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.8-mph figure.

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Clay Holmes. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage over Clay Holmes today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Jakob Marsee's 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Batting from the opposite that Clay Holmes throws from, Griffin Conine will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today's game. Placing in the 98th percentile, the hardest ball Griffin Conine has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 117.4 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability. Griffin Conine has put up a .327 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 80th percentile.

Troy Johnston has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clay Holmes today. Troy Johnston hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Troy Johnston will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.