New York @ Miami Picks & Props

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge today. Brett Baty has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 91.3-mph mark. Brett Baty's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 47.2% on the season to 57.9% in the past 14 days. Brett Baty has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .321 figure is a fair amount lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Francisco Lindor has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 94.5-mph in the last week. In the past week's worth of games, Francisco Lindor's 75% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.9%. Posting a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Francisco Lindor has performed in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Ranked in the 90th percentile, Brandon Nimmo has one of the highest average exit velocities in baseball this year (91.9-mph). Posting a .268 batting average this year, Brandon Nimmo has performed in the 76th percentile.

Xavier Edwards's batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Brandon Sproat in this game. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Starling Marte has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks, Starling Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph in recent games. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 44.6% on the season to 68.8% in the past two weeks. Utilizing Statcast data, Starling Marte grades out in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .274.

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Connor Norby will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Norby's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (23.8° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 20.8° seasonal figure.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Despite posting a .395 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Juan Soto has had bad variance on his side given the .018 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .413.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past 7 days.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 18.7% this year. Pete Alonso has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 89.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Otto Lopez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Otto Lopez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 13.6%.

Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 17.2% on the season to 25% in the past week. When it comes to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.03 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 99th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph figure. Over the past 7 days, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.8-mph of late. In notching a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Francisco Alvarez finds himself in the 90th percentile. Francisco Alvarez has compiled a .330 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Jakob Marsee will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today. Jakob Marsee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 17.4% on the season to 23.8% in the last week.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Liam Hicks will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Sproat today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Liam Hicks will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Liam Hicks ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.6% rate this year).

Troy Johnston will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Sproat today. Troy Johnston hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Troy Johnston will hold that advantage in today's game. Troy Johnston has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past 14 days.

The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Sproat throws from, Griffin Conine will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Mets. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Griffin Conine will hold that advantage in today's game. Griffin Conine's 12% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Eric Wagaman has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Tyrone Taylor has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.