Minnesota @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Max Kepler will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Max Kepler will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Max Kepler has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last season to 11.9% this season.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. In the last week's worth of games, James Outman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 18.1% up to 25%. James Outman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 97-mph in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last season's 86.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edouard Julien will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Edouard Julien has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Edouard Julien's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 25%.

The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 16.7%. Royce Lewis's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (20° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 12.1° seasonal figure. Royce Lewis has been unlucky this year, notching a .297 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .023 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Bryson Stott will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Martin has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.3-mph.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.267) suggests that Christian Vazquez has suffered from bad luck this year with his .243 actual wOBA. Christian Vazquez has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Aaron Nola. Brooks Lee has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage today. Edmundo Sosa is quite quick, grading out in the 96th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.47 ft/sec this year.

Byron Buxton projects as the 14th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Byron Buxton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 14.4% on the season to 25% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (52% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand today. Kody Clemens has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.1% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Bryce Harper will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Kyle Schwarber will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's game. J.T. Realmuto has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.7-mph over the past 7 days.

Harrison Bader is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader's launch angle in recent games (30° in the past week's worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 12.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 19th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors. The weather report predicts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's matchup.