Miami @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.6% down to 0%.

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Liam Hicks will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Liam Hicks has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Janson Junk in today's game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Walker Buehler.

The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Heriberto Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Heriberto Hernandez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Agustin Ramirez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.9% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Connor Norby's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 18.6% on the season to 30.8% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jakob Marsee is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Jakob Marsee will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler today. Jakob Marsee has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters. Troy Johnston will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game. Troy Johnston has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. The weather report forecasts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Rafael Marchan has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Graham Pauley has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.