Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Carson Williams's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.1°, Carson Williams has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.3° mark over the last week. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Carson Williams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 13.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today. Colton Cowser is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Josh Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Josh Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.259) may lead us to conclude that Josh Lowe has suffered from bad luck this year with his .223 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 89.5-mph mark. Sporting a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Junior Caminero is ranked in the 75th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells today. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Coby Mayo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.2°, Coby Mayo has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 27° mark in the past 14 days.

Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Dylan Beavers will have an edge in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dylan Beavers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Yandy Diaz has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chandler Simpson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Wells throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today's game. Chandler Simpson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Jordan Westburg hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jake Mangum's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Jake Mangum has posted a .292 batting average this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.

Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Samuel Basallo will have the upper hand today. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Samuel Basallo can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Samuel Basallo will hold that advantage in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Gunnar Henderson will have the handedness advantage over Shane Baz in today's game. Gunnar Henderson is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage today. Adley Rutschman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.5-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph average.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest humidity on the slate at 87%. Jeremiah Jackson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jeremiah Jackson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late. Jeremiah Jackson has notched a .345 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

Christopher Morel has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.