Chicago @ New York Picks & Props

Kyle Teel's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Teel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Kyle Teel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In the last week, Kyle Teel's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 33.3%.

Lenyn Sosa has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Lenyn Sosa has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 18.2° this season.

Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average. In the past week, Anthony Volpe's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 37.8%. Despite posting a .289 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Anthony Volpe has been unlucky given the .021 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today. In the last 7 days, Ryan McMahon's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently. Ryan McMahon's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14°) is a considerable increase over his 10.7° figure last season.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Grading out in the 90th percentile, Mike Tauchman has notched a .333 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. New York's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Miguel Vargas, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. Miguel Vargas has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past week's worth of games.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's game. Aaron Judge has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 25.8% seasonal rate to 31% in the past two weeks. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 95.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 16.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Edgar Quero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.9°, Edgar Quero has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.2° figure in the past 14 days. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Edgar Quero sits with a .333 BABIP this year.

Chase Meidroth's batting average skill is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Chase Meidroth has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Chase Meidroth tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Dominic Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In terms of his batting average, Dominic Fletcher has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .207 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230. Dominic Fletcher grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.6% rate since the start of last season).

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage over Shane Smith in today's game. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last season's 16.9° to 20.7° this season. Austin Wells's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, going from 17.9% on the season to 36.4% over the past week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) suggests that Austin Wells has had some very poor luck this year with his .215 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 21.1% seasonal rate to 30% in the last 7 days. In the past 14 days, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98-mph over the course of the season to 104.8-mph in recent games.

Colson Montgomery is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's game. Colson Montgomery pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Will Robertson will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Cody Bellinger's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Smith today. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Cody Bellinger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Smith throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Trent Grisham has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.1 mph compared to last year's 94.1 mph mark.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Smith in today's game. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today's game.