Milwaukee @ St. Louis Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Jordan Walker will hold that advantage in today's game. Jordan Walker has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 50% in the past week's worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage against Chad Patrick in today's matchup. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Extreme flyball bats like Ivan Herrera tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Chad Patrick. Ivan Herrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Caleb Durbin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph in recent games. Caleb Durbin has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Victor Scott II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today's game. Victor Scott II has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .216 mark is deflated compared to his .242 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brice Turang's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Brice Turang will have an advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, Brice Turang grades out in the 89th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282.

Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge today. Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Thomas Saggese will hold that advantage in today's game. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Thomas Saggese and his 20.1% rank in the 89th percentile this year.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (35° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 21.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Sal Frelick is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Sal Frelick will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's matchup. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage today.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's matchup. Jake Bauers's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 91.8-mph now compared to just 89.4-mph then. Jake Bauers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 94-mph in the past 14 days. Grading out in the 78th percentile, Jake Bauers sports a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .310 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andrew Vaughn has experienced some negative variance given the .025 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Christian Yelich has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97-mph average to last year's 93.4-mph average.

This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Jackson Chourio's launch angle from last season's 7.5° to 11.1° this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, William Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 25%.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. This game is predicted to have the most humid conditions on the slate (76%); there is a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage today. Nolan Arenado has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 86.8-mph average. Nolan Arenado's launch angle of late (28.3° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 18.9° seasonal figure.

Blake Perkins has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.