Chicago @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly grades out in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .348.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Zack Littell in today's matchup. Willi Castro pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Willi Castro has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .254.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. In the past 14 days, Matt Shaw's 53.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) may lead us to conclude that Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck this year with his .223 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Reese McGuire is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cincinnati Reds has just 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.

The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 7.5% to 12.1%.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Javier Assad. Elly De La Cruz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 12th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average skill. Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hays will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. TJ Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Will Benson ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Will Benson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest right field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°.

Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 venue in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 6th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 84°. Noelvi Marte will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.